Suzanne Tolmeijer, Markus Kneer, Cristina Sarasua, Markus Christen, Abraham Bernstein, Implementations in Machine Ethics: A Survey, In: ArXiv.org, No. 07573, 2020. (Working Paper)
Increasingly complex and autonomous systems require machine ethics to maximize the benefits and minimize the risks to society arising from the new technology. It is challenging to decide which type of ethical theory to employ and how to implement it effectively. This survey provides a threefold contribution. First, it introduces a trimorphic taxonomy to analyze machine ethics implementations with respect to their object (ethical theories), as well as their nontechnical and technical aspects. Second, an exhaustive selection and description of relevant works is presented. Third, applying the new taxonomy to the selected works, dominant research patterns, and lessons for the field are identified, and future directions for research are suggested. |
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Vitor Bosshard, Sven Seuken, The Cost of Simple Bidding in Combinatorial Auctions, In: ArXiv.org, No. 12237, 2020. (Working Paper)
We study the complexity of bidding optimally in one-shot combinatorial auction mechanisms. Specifically, we consider the two most-commonly used payment rules: first-price and VCG-nearest. Prior work has largely assumed that bidders only submit bids on their bundles of interest. However, we show the surprising result that a single-minded bidder may lose an exponential amount of utility by playing his optimal simple strategy (only bidding on his bundle of interest) compared to playing his optimal complex strategy (which involves bidding on an exponential number of bundles). Our work suggests that it is important for future research on combinatorial auctions to fully take these effects into account. |
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Kjell G. Nyborg, Zexi Wang, The effect of stock liquidity on cash holdings: The repurchase motiv, In: Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper, No. 19-30, 2019. (Working Paper)
We show that enhanced stock liquidity increases a firm’s propensity to hold cash using tick-size decimalization for identification. Our finding is surprising in light of the view that improved stock liquidity reduces financial constraints. As an explanation, we propose that there is a repurchase motive for holding cash. Higher stock liquidity strengthens this incentive. Consistent with this perspective, we show that firms with more liquid stock increase cash holdings relatively more around the introduction of safe harbor rules for repurchases. With respect to the effect of stock liquidity on cash holdings, therefore, our
findings suggest that the repurchase motive dominates the real investments motive. We also show that this effect is not influenced by a firm’s relative ability to access to credit markets. |
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Stefan Linder, Matthias Sohn, Carmen Tanner, Moral commitment and corruption: Who is more likely to resist corrupt behavior?, In: SSRN, No. 3530305, 2020. (Working Paper)
Corruption is ubiquitous in practice and has severe negative consequences for businesses and societies at large. This paper focuses on an issue largely neglected in research on corruption: why individuals differ in their susceptibility to engage in corruption. Drawing on a laboratory experiment, we propose that individuals high in moral commitment are less likely to engage in corruptive behaviors and hence forego financial benefits. Specifically, we posit that individuals refrain from corruption (i) the more they hold integrity as a protected value, (ii) the more they experience compromising their integrity for monetary gains as unacceptable, and (iii) the higher their level of Honesty-Humility. The results of our two-step experiment largely support the hypotheses: people who treat compromises to integrity as unacceptable were less willing to accept bribes, and Honesty-Humility decreased bribe-giving. The findings are robust to demographic variables (e.g., age, gender, cultural background) and additional personal characteristics (e.g., risk tolerance, dispositional greed) and have important implications for ongoing theory-building efforts and business practice. |
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Silvia Maier, Marcus Grüschow, Pupil dilation predicts individual success in emotion regulation and dietary self-control, In: bioRxiv, No. 376202, 2020. (Working Paper)
Multiple theories have proposed that increasing central arousal through the brain’s locus coeruleus – norepinephrine system may facilitate cognitive control and memory. However, for emotion research this hypothesis poses a puzzle, because conventionally, successful emotion regulation is associated with a decrease in arousal.
Pupil diameter is a proxy to infer upon the central arousal state. We employed an emotion regulation paradigm with a combination of design features that allowed us to dissociate regulation- from stimulus-associated arousal in the pupil diameter time course of healthy adults. A pupil diameter increase during regulation predicted individual differences in emotion regulation success beyond task difficulty. Moreover, the extent of this individual arousal boost predicted performance in another self-control task, dietary health challenges. Participants who harnessed more regulation-associated arousal during emotion regulation were also more successful in choosing healthier foods. These results suggest that a common arousal-based facilitation mechanism may support an individual’s self-control across domains. |
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Delia Coculescu, Aditi Dandapani, Insiders and their Free Lunches: the Role of Short Positions, In: ArXiv.org, No. 2012.00359, 2020. (Working Paper)
Given a stock price process, we analyse the potential of arbitrage by insiders in a context of short-selling prohibitions. We introduce the notion of minimal supermartingale measure, and we analyse its properties in connection to the minimal martingale measure. In particular, we establish conditions when both fail to exist. These correspond to the case when the insider's information set includes some non null events that are perceived as having null probabilities by the uninformed market investors. These results may have different applications, such as in problems related to the local risk-minimisation for insiders whenever strategies are implemented without short selling. |
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Christoph Basten, Mike Mariathasan, Interest Rate Pass-Through and Bank Risk-Taking Under Negative-Rate Policies with Tiered Remuneration of Central Bank Reserves, In: SFI Discussion Papers, No. 20-98, 2020. (Working Paper)
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Daniel Fasnacht, Open Innovation Ecosystem: The Winner Takes It All, In: SSRN, No. 3311236, 2019. (Working Paper)
Recent research and practical implementations in the area of open innovation and business ecosystems have found that ecosystem theory can play an important part in strategic management. The term Open Innovation Ecosystem stands for an ill-defined concept. In both theory and practice, the term is used in different combinations and with different meanings. The attempt of this paper is to briefly define the open innovation ecosystem, including the derivation of its two theories, i.e. open innovation and (business) ecosystem. We explain the conceptual analogy between the biological ecosystem, as observed in nature, and our understanding of the open innovation ecosystem that we adopted from manufacturing and technology. By examining the financial sector, we found some generally valid definitions. The focus of our research is the value of creating open innovation ecosystems and the forces and processes that cause them to evolve over time. Based on a case study of Alibaba’s cross-sector ecosystem, we show that in today’s sharing economy, the winner takes it all. We conclude by suggesting strategy development through the lens of the ecosystem theory, as this approach clearly drives innovation and growth in an increasingly connected digital world. |
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Daniel Fasnacht, The Ecosystem Strategy: Disruptive Business Model Innovation, In: SSRN, No. 3635363, 2020. (Working Paper)
The fourth industrial revolution has long since begun and is leading to an economic reorganization with significant changes for organizations, leadership, and society. With increasing global competition, established companies would be forced out of the market if they do not collaborate with agile innovators from outside their industries. This article contains instructions on how existing and disruptive business models can be combined with an ecosystem strategy and used as an opportunity. Case examples and practical models guide managers to identify and evaluate ecosystem strategies to generate new added value for the next generation of customers.
Note: This paper is an enhanced and translated version of an article originally published under the title "Die Oekosystemstrategie" in Zeitschrift Führung und Organisation (zfo), Vol. 89, No. 3, June 2020, pp. 168-173. The publication is a highly respected peer-review journal, focusing on leadership and organization./ |
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Daniel Fasnacht, Open Innovation in the Financial Services - The Magic Bullet, In: SSRN, No. 3684517, 2020. (Working Paper)
Rapid and unpredictable events as we have experienced with the financial crisis or recently with COVID-19 together with macro trends that change societies and businesses over ten years have become recurring themes in the global competitive landscape. The open innovation concept helps firms to reconfigure their resources across company boundaries and in turn, nurtures organisational agility and entrepreneurial flexibility. Collaboration and co-creation are the core elements of a new management mindset to serve specific client demands fast, precisely, and effectively. A long-term study, exploring the impacts of emerging open business models in financial services, found that digital convergence accelerates the disruption of established banking businesses. Based on a literature review, complemented with information from case studies of notable banks, this abstract shows what affects markets and society most and provides insights into a sector that is in transformation. It broadens the understanding of scholars as well as practitioners that acknowledge open innovation to develop opportunities by creating and capturing value in business ecosystems. |
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Jill Jones, Steven Ongena, Vasileios Pappas, Mike Tsionas, Marwan Izzeldin, Efficiency Convergence in Islamic and Conventional Banks, In: SSRN, No. n/a, 2018. (Working Paper)
This paper examines how efficiency dynamics of Islamic and conventional banks compare and how they are converging across different countries. We employ both parametric and non-parametric methods to analyse a panel of Islamic and conventional banks from 23 countries during the period 1999 to 2014. Parametric methods (stochastic frontiers methods) shows that both steady state efficiency and the speed of convergence of Islamic and conventional banks are similar. A non-parametric framework (classification trees) identifies a varying degree of alignment between the Islamic and conventional banking model across countries, which could explain the plurality in conclusions in the Islamic/conventional bank efficiency debate. We find that the alignment between the two bank types is positively related to the country’s financial depth, transparency, economic stability and banking concentration. At the bank level, the alignment in the two banking systems is associated with higher income diversification, liquidity, profitability and financial stability. |
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Diana Bonfim, Gil Nogueira, Steven Ongena, “Sorry, We're Closed" Bank Branch Closures, Loan Pricing, and Information Asymmetries, In: SSRN, No. 2749155, 2020. (Working Paper)
We study local loan conditions when, under external pressure, banks close branches. After the closure of nearby branches of their credit granting banks, firms that locally and hurriedly transfer to other banks receive an equivalent interest rate. However, and in stark contrast, where branch closures do not take place firms that purposely switch banks receive a 63 basis points discount. At the same time, the loan default rate for the (more expensive) transfer loans is on average a full percentage point lower than that for the (cheaper) switching loans. This suggests that firms that establish new relationships after their bank branch closes are “better” than regular switchers in terms of unobservable characteristics. Taken together, these findings provide evidence of losses for firms when banks close branches, even if local markets remain competitive. |
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Delia Coculescu, Freddy DELBAEN, Group cohesion under individual regulatory constraints, In: ArXiv.org, No. 2010.0142, 2020. (Working Paper)
We consider a group consisting of N business units. We suppose there are regulatory constraints for each unit, more precisely, the net worth of each business unit is required to belong to a set of acceptable risks, assumed to be a convex cone. Because of these requirements, there are less incentives to operate under a group structure, as creating one single business unit, or altering the liability repartition among units, may allow to reduce the required capital. We analyse the possibilities for the group to benefit from a diversification effect and economise on the cost of capital. We define and study the risk measures that allow for any group to achieve the minimal capital, as if it were a single unit, without altering the liability of business units, and despite the individual admissibility constraints. We call these risk measures cohesive risk measures, we prove cohesive risk measures are tail expectations but calculated under a different probability. |
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Elena Carletti, Paolo Colla, Mitu G Gulati, Steven Ongena, The Price of Law: The Case of the Eurozone Collective Action Clauses, In: Duke Law School Public Law & Legal Theory Series, No. 2020-73, 2020. (Working Paper)
We analyze the price effect of the introduction of Collective Action Clauses (CACs) in all newly issued sovereign bonds of Eurozone countries as of January 1, 2013. By allowing a majority of creditors to modify payment obligations, such clauses reduce the likelihood of holdouts while facilitating strategic default by the sovereign. We find that CAC bonds trade in the secondary market at lower yields than otherwise similar no-CAC bonds. The yield differential widens in countries with worse ratings and in those with stronger legal systems. The results suggest that CACs are seen as pro- rather than anti-creditor provisions. |
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Urban Ulrych, Nikola Vasiljevic, Ambiguity and the Home Currency Bias, In: Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper, No. 20-73, 2020. (Working Paper)
This paper addresses the question of optimal currency exposure for a risk-and-ambiguity-averse international investor. A robust mean-variance model with smooth ambiguity preferences is used to derive the optimal currency exposure. In the theoretical part, we show that the sample-efficient currency demand can be calculated as the solution to a generalized ridge regression. Through the lens of these results, we demonstrate that our ambiguity-based model offers a new explanation of the home currency bias. The investor's dislike for model uncertainty induces a disproportionately high currency hedging demand. The empirical analysis of currency overlay strategies employs the foreign exchange, equity, and bond returns over the period from 1999 to 2018. Our out-of-sample back-tests illustrate that accounting for ambiguity enhances the stability of estimated optimal currency exposures and significantly improves the portfolio performance net of transaction costs. |
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Delia Coculescu, Freddy DELBAEN, Fairness principles for insurance contracts in the presence of default risk, In: ArXiv.org, No. 2009.04408, 2020. (Working Paper)
We use the theory of cooperative games for the design of fair insurance contracts. An insurance contract needs to specify the premium to be paid and a possible participation in the benefit (or surplus) of the company. It results from the analysis that when a contract is exposed to the default risk of the insurance company, ex-ante equilibrium considerations require a certain participation in the benefit of the company to be specified in the contracts. The fair benefit participation of agents appears as an outcome of a game involving the residual risks induced by the default possibility and using fuzzy coalitions. |
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Christoph Basten, Steven Ongena, The Geography of Mortgage Lending in Times of FinTech, In: CEPR Discussion Papers, No. DP14918, 2020. (Working Paper)
How does banks' geographical footprint change when a FinTech platform allows offering mortgages to regions without branch presence? Unique data on responses from different banks to each household yield three salient findings: First, banks offer 4% more often and 6 basis points cheaper when markets have high versus low concentration, implying more profitable follow-on business. Second, they offer 2% more often and 2 bps cheaper when unemployment or house price growth in the applicant's state are one standard deviation less correlated with those at home, improving portfolio diversification. Third, these offers are increasingly automated, using available hard information more efficiently. |
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Hua Cheng, Kishore Gawande, Steven Ongena, Shusen Qi, Get beyond policy uncertainty: Evidence from political connections, In: Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper, No. 20-77, 2020. (Working Paper)
Although policy uncertainty has drawn regulators’ attention in the aftermath of the global financial crisis, little is known on how to alleviate its adverse effects. In this paper, we examine the role of political connections in mitigating the detrimental impact of policy uncertainty on banks. Our estimates show that banks are more cautious when facing policy uncertainty, but that the effect is partially alleviated when banks are politically connected. For an increase of one standard deviation in policy uncertainty, connected banks maintain a loss provision to loan volume ratio that is almost seven percent lower compared to their unconnected peers. These findings are robust to a geographical regression discontinuity setting, as well as to a placebo test. Lastly, the mitigating role of political connections is driven mainly by smaller banks and periods of stricter banking regulations. |
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Pascal Flurin Meier, Raphael Flepp, Egon Franck, Are Sports Betting Markets Semistrong Efficient? Evidence from the COVID-19 Pandemic, In: UZH Business Working Paper Series, No. 387, 2020. (Working Paper)
This paper examines whether sports betting markets are semistrong-form efficient—i.e., whether new information is rapidly and completely incorporated into betting prices. We use the news of ghost matches in the top European football leagues due to the COVID-19 pandemic as the arrival of public information. Because spectators are absent in ghost games, the home field advantage is reduced, and we test whether this information is fully reflected in betting prices. Our results show that bookmakers systematically overestimate a home team’s winning probability during the first period of the ghost games, which suggests that betting markets are, at least temporally, not semistrong-form efficient. We exploit a betting strategy that yields a positive net payoff over more than one month. |
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Nils Jonathan Krakow, Timo Schäfer, Mutual Funds and Qualitative Disclosure, In: Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper, No. 20-54, 2021. (Working Paper)
In this paper, we use the content of U.S. mutual funds' prospectuses to examine the informational value of funds' qualitative disclosures. We document significant heterogeneity in the cross-section of funds' qualitative disclosures, primarily attributed to characteristics at the investment company level. Using textual analysis, we decompose funds' qualitative disclosures into informative and standard content. Our results show that funds' risk-taking behavior and risk-adjusted-performance increase with the informativeness of their disclosures. Content-based updates of disclosures are informative about funds' future risk-taking and their future performance. Finally, we document evidence that investors react to some extent to the informativeness of fund disclosures. |
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