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Contribution Details

Type Journal Article
Scope Discipline-based scholarship
Title Belief precision and effort incentives in promotion contests
Organization Unit
Authors
  • Jeanine Miklos-Thal
  • Hannes Ullrich
Item Subtype Original Work
Refereed Yes
Status Published in final form
Language
  • English
Journal Title Economic Journal
Publisher Wiley-Blackwell Publishing, Inc.
Geographical Reach international
ISSN 0013-0133
Volume 125
Number 589
Page Range 1952 - 1963
Date 2015
Abstract Text The career concerns literature predicts that incentives for effort decline as beliefs about ability become more precise (Holmstrom, 1982/1999). In contrast, we show that effort can increase with belief precision when agents compete for promotions to better paid jobs that are assigned on the basis of perceived abilities. In this case, an intermediate level of precision provides the strongest incentive for effort, with effort increasing (decreasing) when beliefs are less (more) precise.
Digital Object Identifier 10.1111/ecoj.12162
Other Identification Number merlin-id:9946
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