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Contribution Details

Type Conference Presentation
Scope Discipline-based scholarship
Title Asset Prices and the Return to Normalcy
Organization Unit
Authors
  • Ole Wilms
  • Walter Pohl
  • Karl Schmedders
Presentation Type paper
Item Subtype Original Work
Refereed No
Status Published electronically before print/final form (Epub ahead of print)
Language
  • English
Event Title Workshop on Computational Economics and Finance
Event Type workshop
Event Location Hoover Institution, Stanford
Event Start Date July 15 - 2013
Event End Date August 5 - 2013
Abstract Text Most standard asset-pricing models in the finance literature assume that consumption growth is stationary, that is, the consumption process has a unit root. In contrast to this literature, we study the implications of aggregate consumption processes featuring short-run deviations from a long-run trend. We find that the implications of our model are dramatically different from those obtained in the existing literature. A representative-agent model with standard CRRA preferences can reproduce the equity premium, the volatility of stock prices, and the average risk-free rate with a coefficient of relative risk aversion below ten. This finding suggests that temporary deviations from trend can play an important role in explaining asset pricing puzzles.
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