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Contribution Details

Type Conference or Workshop Paper
Scope Discipline-based scholarship
Published in Proceedings Yes
Title Experience with a System Dynamics model in a prospective study on the future impact of ICT on environmental sustainability
Organization Unit
Authors
  • Lorenz Hilty
  • Patrick Wäger
  • Peter Arnfalk
  • Lorenz Erdmann
  • James Goodman
Editors
  • Alexey Voinov
  • Anthony J Jakeman
  • Andrea E Rizzoli
Presentation Type paper
Item Subtype Original Work
Refereed Yes
Status Published in final form
Language
  • English
ISBN 978-1-4243-0852-1
Event Title Proceedings of the iEMSs Third Biennial Meeting, Summit on Environmental Modelling and Software
Event Type conference
Event Location Burlington, Vermont, USA
Event Start Date July 9 - 2006
Event End Date July 13 - 2006
Publisher International Environmental Modelling and Software Society, Burlington, USA
Abstract Text To assess the potential impact of ICT on environmental sustainability in the European Union within a time horizon until 2020, we developed a System Dynamics model. In our contribution we make a critical, retrospective evaluation of the model with regard to the requirements and expectations of the project commissioners and of experts involved in the modeling and simulation process. The issues addressed are problem adequacy, validity, transparency, communicability and receptivity of the model. We conclude that modeling approaches that better support a modular model design than System Dynamics does would lead to better results regarding these requirements, and that a modeling language based on a more domain-specific ontology than System Dynamics would be needed to create models that are communicable and have an adequate epistemic connectivity to the scientific and political discourse.
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Official URL http://www.iemss.org/iemss2006/papers/s10/263_Wager_2.pdf
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