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Contribution Details

Type Conference Presentation
Scope Discipline-based scholarship
Title Multivariate Markov chain approximations
Organization Unit
Authors
  • Simon Scheuring
Presentation Type paper
Item Subtype Original Work
Refereed Yes
Status Published electronically before print/final form (Epub ahead of print)
Event Title ERCIM
Event Type conference
Event Location London
Event Start Date December 17 - 2011
Event End Date December 19 - 2011
Abstract Text In order to solve equilibrium models numerically, it is necessary to discretise vector autoregressive processes (VAR) into a ?nite number of states. The univariate case for such Markov chain approximations is well studied; however, the multivariate case has been scarcely addressed in the literature. We argue that the common approach to apply multivariate Gaussian quadrature has dif?culties for small numbers of states. To address this weakness, two alternatives are proposed: moment matching and direct bin estimation. Moment matching constructs the discrete Markov chain, such that the ?rst moments are exactly the same as in the VAR. Direct bin estimation leaves out the ?rst step of estimating the VAR and estimates the discrete Markov chain directly, by forming bins and then estimating transition probabilities with maximum likelihood. Finally, moment matching and bin estimation are compared to four different implementations of Tauchen’s approach in a standard Lucas asset pricing framework.
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