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| Type | Journal Article |
| Scope | Discipline-based scholarship |
| Title | The Relevance of Information and Communication Technologies for Environmental Sustainability - A Prospective Simulation Study |
| Organization Unit | |
| Authors |
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| Item Subtype | Original Work |
| Refereed | Yes |
| Status | Published in final form |
| Language |
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| Journal Title | Environmental Modelling & Software |
| Publisher | Elsevier |
| Geographical Reach | international |
| ISSN | 1364-8152 |
| Volume | 21 |
| Number | 11 |
| Page Range | 1618 - 1629 |
| Date | 2006 |
| Abstract Text | Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) have relevant positive and negative impacts on environmental sustainability on various levels: First-order effects such as increasing electronic waste streams; second-order effects such as improved energy-efficiency of production; third-order effects such as a product-to-service shift in consumption or rebound effects in transport. In the simulation study described in this article, all known relevant effects on all three levels were modeled using a System Dynamics approach in combination with scenario techniques and expert consultations. The prospective study for the European Union with a time-horizon until 2020 revealed great potential for ICT-supported energy management and for a structural change towards a less material-intensive economy, but strong rebound effects in the transport sector whenever ICT applications lead to time or cost savings for transport. (c) 2006 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. |
| Free access at | Related URL |
| Official URL | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1364815206001204 |
| Related URLs | |
| Digital Object Identifier | 10.1016/j.envsoft.2006.05.007 |
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