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Contribution Details

Type Working Paper
Scope Discipline-based scholarship
Title Intraday Pattern in FX Returns and Order Flow
Organization Unit
Authors
  • Angelo Ranaldo
  • Francis Breedon
Language
  • English
Series Name Swiss National Bank
Number 4
Date 2011
Abstract Text Using 10 years of high?frequency foreign exchange data, we present evidence of time?of?day effects in foreign exchange returns through a significant tendency for currencies to depreciate during local trading hours. We confirm this pattern across a range of currencies and find that, in the case of EUR/USD, it can form a simple, profitable trading strategy. We also find that this pattern is present in order flow and suggest that both patterns relate to the tendency of market participants to be net purchasers of foreign exchange in their own trading hours. Data from alternative sources appear to corroborate that interpretation.
Official URL http://www.snb.ch/n/mmr/reference/working_paper_2011_04/source
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