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Contribution Details

Type Working Paper
Scope Discipline-based scholarship
Title Stochastic Choice Under Risk
Organization Unit
Authors
  • Pavlo R Blavatskyy
Language
  • English
Institution University of Zurich
Series Name Working paper series / Institute for Empirical Research in Economics
Number No. 272
ISSN 1424-0459
Date 2006
Abstract Text An individual makes random errors when evaluating the expected utility of a risky lottery. Errors are symmetrically distributed around zero as long as an individual does not make transparentnmistakes such as choosing a risky lottery over its highest possible outcome for certain. This stochastic decision theory explains many well-known violations of expected utility theory such as the fourfold pattern of risk attitudes, the discrepancy between certainty equivalent and probability equivalent elicitation methods, the preference reversal phenomenon, the generalizedncommon consequence effect (the Allais paradox), the common ratio effect and the violations of the betweenness.
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