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Contribution Details

Type Working Paper
Scope Discipline-based scholarship
Title Range Effects and Lottery Pricing
Organization Unit
Authors
  • Pavlo R Blavatskyy
  • Wolfgang R Köhler
Language
  • English
Institution University of Zurich
Series Name Working paper series / Institute for Empirical Research in Economics
Number No. 323
ISSN 1424-0459
Date 2008
Abstract Text A standard method to elicit certainty equivalents is the Becker-DeGroot-Marschak (BDM) procedure. We compare the standard BDM procedure and a BDM procedure with a restricted range of minimum selling prices that an individual can state. We find that elicited prices are systematically affected by the range of feasible minimum selling prices. Expected utility theory cannot explain these results. Non-expected utility theories can only explain the results if subjects consider compound lotteries generated by the BDM procedure. We present an alternative explanation where subjectsnsequentially compare the lottery to monetary amounts in order to determine theirnminimum selling price. The model offers a formal explanation for range effects and for the underweighting of small and the overweighting of large probabilities.
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