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Contribution Details

Type Working Paper
Scope Discipline-based scholarship
Title Probabilistic Choice and Stochastic Dominance
Organization Unit
Authors
  • Pavlo R Blavatskyy
Language
  • English
Institution University of Zurich
Series Name Working paper series / Institute for Empirical Research in Economics
Number No. 364
ISSN 1424-0459
Date 2008
Abstract Text This paper presents an axiomatic model of probabilistic choice under risk. In this model, when it comes to choosing one lottery over another, each alternative has a chance of being selected, unless one lottery stochastically dominates the other. An individual behaves as if he compares lotteries to a reference lottery—a least upper bound or a greatest lower boundnin terms of weak dominance. The proposed model is compatible with several well-known violations of expected utility theory such as the common ratio effect and the violations of the betweenness. Necessary and sufficient conditions for the proposed model are completeness, weak stochastic transitivity, continuity, common consequence independence,noutcome monotonicity, and odds ratio independence.
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