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Contribution Details

Type Working Paper
Scope Discipline-based scholarship
Title Momentum in stock market returns, risk premia on foreign currencies and international financial integration
Organization Unit
Authors
  • Thomas Nitschka
Language
  • English
Institution University of Zurich
Series Name Working paper series / Institute for Empirical Research in Economics
Number No. 405
ISSN 1424-0459
Date 2009
Abstract Text Momentum in developed countries' stock market index returns can be exploited to form portfolios of excess returns on foreign currencies as relatively high past foreign stock market returns signal a foreign currency appreciation. Two risk factors extracted from the stock index momentum based currency portfolio returns explain more than 80 percent of their cross-sectional variation. In contrast to currency risk factors constructed from forward discount sorted currency portfolios, these risk factors are not related to business cycle or liquidity risk. But high currency risk premia are associated with relatively deep financial integration and a high level of risk sharing.
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