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Contribution Details

Type Journal Article
Scope Discipline-based scholarship
Title Risk in Time: The Intertwined Nature of Risk Taking and Time Discounting
Organization Unit
Authors
  • Thomas F Epper
  • Helga Fehr-Duda
Item Subtype Original Work
Refereed Yes
Status Published in final form
Language
  • English
Journal Title Journal of the European Economic Association
Publisher Oxford University Press
Geographical Reach international
ISSN 1542-4766
Volume 22
Number 1
Page Range 310 - 354
Date 2024
Abstract Text Standard economic models view risk taking and time discounting as two independent dimensions of decision making. However, mounting experimental evidence demonstrates striking parallels in patterns of risk taking and time discounting behavior and systematic interaction effects, which suggests that there may be common underlying forces driving these interactions. Here, we show that the inherent uncertainty associated with future prospects together with individuals’ proneness to probability weighting generates a unifying framework for explaining a large number of puzzling behavioral findings: delay-dependent risk tolerance, aversion to sequential resolution of uncertainty, preferences for the timing of the resolution of uncertainty, the differential discounting of risky and certain outcomes, hyperbolic discounting, subadditive discounting, and the order dependence of prospect valuation. Furthermore, all these phenomena can be accommodated by the same set of preference parameter values and plausible levels of inherent uncertainty.
Digital Object Identifier 10.1093/jeea/jvad041
Other Identification Number merlin-id:24286
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