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Contribution Details

Type Working Paper
Scope Discipline-based scholarship
Title Mobilization versus mitigation: how do cash transfers affect participation in elections?
Organization Unit
Authors
  • Victor Araújo
Language
  • English
Institution University of Zurich
Series Name URPP Equality of Opportunity Discussion Paper Series
Number 13
Number of Pages 37
Date 2023
Abstract Text It is commonly accepted that income deprivation suppresses civic engagement. Yet, it is still unclear how policies that seek to tackle deprivation, such as anti-poverty schemes, affect political participation in targeted constituencies: Do they mobilize new citizens (mobilization) or keep engaged those with the habit of voting (mitigation)? I theoretically distinguish between these two mechanisms by focusing on cash transfers, the most widely adopted anti-poverty scheme worldwide. Empirically, I evaluate the Renda Básica de Cidadania, the largest unconditional cash transfer in Latin America, which allows for isolating the effect of cash payments on voting behavior. Estimates from a difference-in-differences design reveal a three percentage points increase (a net growth of 4%) in voter turnout in posttreatment elections. Leveraging municipal-level data in a synthetic control method approach, I show that a mitigation mechanism induces this effect, i.e., the payment of monthly cash transfers reduced the incentives to abstain in elections.
Official URL https://www.urpp-equality.uzh.ch/dam/jcr:71f71c72-5b02-451a-9564-f4e4ee9ff143/13_Ara%C3%BAjo_URPP_cashtransfers_participation.pdf
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Keywords Anti-poverty schemes, poverty alleviation, unconditional cash transfers, political safety net, voter turnout