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Contribution Details

Type Journal Article
Scope Discipline-based scholarship
Title Uncertainty in the black-litterman model: empirical estimation of the equilibrium
Organization Unit
Authors
  • Adrian Fuhrer
  • Thorsten Hock
Item Subtype Original Work
Refereed Yes
Status Published in final form
Language
  • English
Journal Title Journal of Empirical Finance
Publisher Elsevier
Geographical Reach international
ISSN 0927-5398
Volume 72
Page Range 251 - 275
Date 2023
Abstract Text The Black-Litterman model is a widely used and well established application of the Bayesian framework to asset allocation problems. It is, however, difficult to calibrate, as it requires the specification of abstract uncertainty parameters. We propose a new, more flexible model that allows the empirical estimation of the equilibrium, alleviating the need for parametrization. In an empirical application, we illustrate the sensitivity of the classical Black-Litterman model to the choice of the uncertainty parameter. We then demonstrate that the flexible model successfully exploits information in the cross-section of index constituents’ returns to find an optimal trade-off in calibration of the uncertainty.
Free access at DOI
Digital Object Identifier 10.1016/j.jempfin.2023.03.009
Other Identification Number merlin-id:23875
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