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Contribution Details

Type Journal Article
Scope Discipline-based scholarship
Title Technical analysis: Novel insights on contrarian trading
Organization Unit
Authors
  • Patrick Eugster
  • Matthias W Uhl
Item Subtype Original Work
Refereed Yes
Status Published in final form
Language
  • English
Journal Title European financial management
Publisher Wiley-Blackwell Publishing, Inc.
Geographical Reach international
ISSN 1354-7798
Volume 29
Number 4
Page Range 1160 - 1190
Date 2023
Abstract Text We analyze the predictive power of technical analysis with a novel data set based on news sentiment that allows to systematically examine a set of technical analysis indicators over an extensive time period. We do not find much statistically significant relationships with the examined indicators and future asset returns, and we almost do not find any alphas in trading strategies based on technical analysis sentiment. We find evidence for a contrarian-based hypothesis: past market returns and technical analysis sentiment are able to predict future technical analysis sentiment with a negative relationship.
Free access at DOI
Digital Object Identifier 10.1111/eufm.12389
Other Identification Number merlin-id:23723
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