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Contribution Details

Type Working Paper
Scope Discipline-based scholarship
Title A novel estimator of earth's curvature (allowing for inference as well)
Organization Unit
Authors
  • David R Bell
  • Olivier Ledoit
  • Michael Wolf
Language
  • English
Institution University of Zurich
Series Name Working paper series / Department of Economics
Number 431
ISSN 1664-7041
Number of Pages 26
Date 2023
Abstract Text This paper estimates the curvature of the Earth, defined as one over its radius, without relying on physical measurements. The orthodox model states that the Earth is (nearly) spherical with a curvature of π/20'000 km. By contrast, the heterodox flat-Earth model stipulates a curvature of zero. Abstracting from the well-worn arguments for and against both models, rebuttals and counter-rebuttals ad infinitum, we propose a novel statistical methodology based on verifiable flight times along regularly scheduled commercial airline routes; this methodology allows for both estimating and making inference for Earth's curvature. In particular, a formal hypothesis test resolutely rejects the flat-Earth model, whereas it does not reject the orthodox spherical-Earth model.
Other Identification Number merlin-id:23610
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Keywords Flat earth, flight times, nonlinear least squares, trigonometry
Additional Information Revised version