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Contribution Details

Type Working Paper
Scope Discipline-based scholarship
Title Beyond the headline: how personal inflation exposure shapes households’ financial choices
Organization Unit
Authors
  • Christoph Basten
  • Merike Kukk
  • Jan Toczynski
Language
  • English
Institution Swiss Finance Institute
Series Name Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper
Number 23-15
ISSN 1556-5068
Number of Pages 43
Date 2023
Abstract Text Using unique account-level data from a high inflation period in Estonia in 2005-11 and interactive fixed effect estimation, we find individual consumption to depend on personal beyond national headline inflation. Foreign shocks to selected goods’ inflation affect disproportionately households with greater consumption basket weights on these goods and make them increase consumption by an extra 1.3% per percentage point of higher inflation exposure, financed with more net borrowing. Indebted households respond stronger, consistent with a debt depreciation effect. Resulting extra demand for goods with higher inflation can reinforce inflation, letting future inflation depend on its current distribution.
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Keywords Inflation heterogeneity, personal inflation exposure, consumption, borrowing, interactive fixed effects, intertemporal choices