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Contribution Details

Type Journal Article
Scope Discipline-based scholarship
Title Outcome bias in self-evaluations: Quasi-experimental field evidence from Swiss driving license exams
Organization Unit
  • Pascal Flurin Meier
  • Raphael Flepp
  • Philippe Meier
  • Egon Franck
Item Subtype Original Work
Refereed Yes
Status Published in final form
  • English
Journal Title Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization
Publisher Elsevier
Geographical Reach international
ISSN 0167-2681
Volume 201
Page Range 292 - 309
Date 2022
Abstract Text Exploiting a quasi-experimental field setting, we examine whether people are outcome biased when self-evaluating their past decisions. Using data from Swiss driving license exams, we find that candidates who narrowly passed the theoretical driving exam are significantly less likely to pass the subsequent practical driving exam – which is taken several months after the theoretical exam – than those who narrowly failed. Those candidates who passed the theoretical exam on their first attempt receive more objections regarding their momentary, on-the-spot decisions in the practical exam, consistent with the idea that the underlying behavioral difference is worse preparation.
Free access at DOI
Digital Object Identifier 10.1016/j.jebo.2022.07.013
Other Identification Number merlin-id:22606
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