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Contribution Details

Type Scientific Publication In Electronic Form
Scope Discipline-based scholarship
Title The price of war: Macroeconomic effects of the 2022 sanctions on Russia
Organization Unit
Authors
  • Anna Pestova
  • Mikhail Mamonov
  • Steven Ongena
Refereed Yes
Language
  • English
Place of Publication London
Publisher VoxEU, CEPR Policy Portal
Date 2022
Abstract Text Following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on 24 February 2022, the US, Europe, and many other countries imposed new economic sanctions on Russia. This column assesses the economic effects of these sanctions using a structural vector auto-regression model of the Russian economy. The findings suggest that industrial production, consumption, and investment will all decline, and that Russian GDP will contract by -12.5% to -16.5% in 2022. Nevertheless, the Russian economy will continue to rely on its existing export model, which may be difficult to undermine, even with potential oil and gas embargoes.
Free access at Official URL
Official URL https://voxeu.org/article/macroeconomic-effects-2022-sanctions-russia
Other Identification Number merlin-id:22360
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