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Contribution Details

Type Master's Thesis
Scope Discipline-based scholarship
Title From the implied cost of capital to the equity duration: estimating the sensitivity of equity prices to investors’ required return
Organization Unit
Authors
  • Jacopo Vaccari
Supervisors
  • Ana Mao de Ferro
  • Michel Habib
Language
  • English
Institution University of Zurich
Faculty Faculty of Business, Economics and Informatics
Number of Pages 43
Date 2022
Abstract Text This study proposes the estimation of the equity duration of the major US equity indices, namely the S&P 500, the Dow, and the NASDAQ 100. Duration for equity assets is measured by the derivative of stocks’ prices to changes of the Implied Cost of capital. The latter is estimated by means of the Residual Income Model (RIM), which is applied to each constituent of the indices. Findings show that the equity duration of the major American indices has risen considerably above its historical average over the 2009-2018 period. Furthermore, by sorting portfolios using duration, there is evidence that equity duration can be effectively used as an alternative measure for the value factor. In addition, a duration-based stock selection strategy outperforms a passive investment in the indices in both absolute and relative terms. Finally, duration measured at the index level is found to predict future indices’ return, especially for the NASDAQ 100.
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