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Contribution Details

Type Journal Article
Scope Discipline-based scholarship
Title Forecasting high-frequency stock returns: a comparison of alternative methods
Organization Unit
Authors
  • Erdinc Akyildirim
  • Aurelio F Bariviera
  • Duc Khuong Nguyen
  • Ahmet Sensoy
Item Subtype Original Work
Refereed Yes
Status Published in final form
Language
  • English
Journal Title Annals of Operations Research
Publisher Springer
Geographical Reach international
ISSN 0254-5330
Volume 313
Page Range 639 - 690
Date 2022
Abstract Text We compare the performance of various advanced forecasting techniques, namely artificial neural networks, k-nearest neighbors, logistic regression, Naïve Bayes, random forest classifier, support vector machine, and extreme gradient boosting classifier to predict stock price movements based on past prices. We apply these methods with the high frequency data of 27 blue-chip stocks traded in the Istanbul Stock Exchange. Our findings reveal that among the selected methodologies, random forest and support vector machine are able to capture both future price directions and percentage changes at a satisfactory level. Moreover, consistent ranking of the methodologies across different time frequencies and train/test set partitions prove the robustness of our empirical findings.
Official URL https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-021-04464-8
Digital Object Identifier 10.1007/s10479-021-04464-8
Other Identification Number merlin-id:21947
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