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Contribution Details

Type Bachelor's Thesis
Scope Discipline-based scholarship
Title The Fama French Factor Models - Empirical Justification of the two additional factors in Central Europe
Organization Unit
Authors
  • Luca Dall'Oglio
Supervisors
  • Erich Walter Farkas
  • Patrick Matei Lucescu
Language
  • English
Institution University of Zurich
Faculty Faculty of Business, Economics and Informatics
Number of Pages 76
Date 2021
Abstract Text By adding two factors to their profound three factor model, Eugene F. Fama and Kenneth R. French built a new five factor model with the intent to increase the explanatory power in variations of returns through the models. Ever since its introduction, the model itself was critically discussed and examined in different markets all around the globe. This thesis follows on this path and compares the two models for the German stock market over the last twenty years. In a first step, the comparison is based on linear regressions. The results indicate that the five factor model can explain the variations in return significantly better than its three factor competitor. In a second step, different forecasts are formed under the influence of the two models, on the basis of which the forecasting power of the two models is to be examined. Here too, in a direct comparison between the three and five factor models, it is concluded that the five factor model performs better. However, the results of the regressions and the forecasts should be treated with caution, as the performance of the models is only partially satisfying in absolute terms.
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