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Contribution Details

Type Journal Article
Scope Discipline-based scholarship
Title Duration dependence and dispersion in count - data models
Organization Unit
Authors
  • Rainer Winkelmann
Item Subtype Original Work
Refereed Yes
Status Published in final form
Language
  • English
Journal Title Journal of Business & Economic Statistics
Publisher American Statistical Association
Geographical Reach international
ISSN 0735-0015
Volume 13
Number 4
Page Range 467 - 474
Date 1995
Abstract Text This paper explores the relation between non-exponential waiting times between events and the distribution of the number of events in a fixed time interval. It is shown that within this framework the frequently observed phenomenon of overdispersion, i.e. a variance that exceeds the mean, is caused by a decreasing hazard function of the waiting times, while an increasing hazard function leads to underdispersion. Using the assumption of i.i.d. gamma distributed waiting times, a new count data model is derived. Its use is illustrated in two applications: the number of births, and the number of doctor consultations.
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Digital Object Identifier 10.2307/1392392
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