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Type | Working Paper |
Scope | Discipline-based scholarship |
Title | Short-run Risk, Business Cycle, and the Value Premium |
Organization Unit | |
Authors |
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Language |
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Institution | University of Zurich |
Series Name | SSRN |
Number | 3519985 |
ISSN | 1556-5068 |
Date | 2020 |
Abstract Text | We jointly explain the variations of the equity and value premium in a model with both short-run (SRR) and long-run (LRR) consumption risk. In our preliminary empirical analysis, we find that SRR varies with the business cycle and it has a substantial predictive power for market excess returns and the value premium|both in-sample and out-of-sample. The LRR component also differs significantly from zero, and value stocks have a larger exposure to both LRR and SRR than growth stocks. To explain these patterns in asset returns, we propose an extended and analytically tractable LRR model. |
Free access at | Official URL |
Official URL | https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3519985 |
Other Identification Number | merlin-id:19377 |
PDF File | Download from ZORA |
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