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Contribution Details

Type Working Paper
Scope Discipline-based scholarship
Title Short-run Risk, Business Cycle, and the Value Premium
Organization Unit
Authors
  • Markus Leippold
  • Yunhao He
Language
  • English
Institution University of Zurich
Series Name SSRN
Number 3519985
ISSN 1556-5068
Date 2020
Abstract Text We jointly explain the variations of the equity and value premium in a model with both short-run (SRR) and long-run (LRR) consumption risk. In our preliminary empirical analysis, we find that SRR varies with the business cycle and it has a substantial predictive power for market excess returns and the value premium|both in-sample and out-of-sample. The LRR component also differs significantly from zero, and value stocks have a larger exposure to both LRR and SRR than growth stocks. To explain these patterns in asset returns, we propose an extended and analytically tractable LRR model.
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Official URL https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3519985
Other Identification Number merlin-id:19377
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