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Contribution Details

Type Working Paper
Scope Discipline-based scholarship
Title Instantaneous Volatility Seasonality of High-Frequency Markets in Directional-Change Intrinsic Time
Organization Unit
Authors
  • Vladimir Petrov
  • Anton Golub
  • Richard Olsen
Language
  • English
Institution University of Zurich
Series Name SSRN
Number 3243797
Date 2019
Abstract Text We propose a novel intraday instantaneous volatility measure which utilises sequences of drawdowns and drawups non-equidistantly spaced in physical time as indicators of high-frequency activity of financial markets. The sequences are re-expressed in terms of directional-change intrinsic time which ticks only when the price curve changes the direction of its trend by a given relative value. We employ the proposed measure to uncover market microstructure weekly volatility seasonality patterns of three Forex and one Bitcoin exchange rates as well as a stock market index. We demonstrate the long memory of instantaneous volatility computed in directional-change intrinsic time. The provided volatility estimation method can be adapted as a universal multiscale risk-management tool independent of the discreteness and the type of analysed large high-frequency data.
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Official URL https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3243797
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