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Contribution Details

Type Journal Article
Scope Discipline-based scholarship
Title Bootstrapping the likelihood ratio cointegration test in error correction models with unknown lag order
Organization Unit
Authors
  • Christian Jonathan Kascha
  • Carsten Trenkler
Item Subtype Original Work
Refereed Yes
Status Published in final form
Language
  • English
Journal Title Computational Statistics and Data Analysis
Publisher Elsevier
Geographical Reach international
ISSN 0167-9473
Volume 55
Number 2
Page Range 1008 - 1017
Date 2011
Abstract Text The finite-sample size and power properties of bootstrapped likelihood ratio system cointegration tests are investigated via Monte Carlo simulations when the true lag order of the data generating process is unknown. Recursive bootstrap schemes are employed which differ in the way in which the lag order is chosen. The order is estimated by minimizing different information criteria and by combining the corresponding order estimates. It is found that, in comparison to the standard asymptotic likelihood ratio test based on an estimated lag order, bootstrapping can lead to improvements in small samples even when the true lag order is unknown, while the power loss is moderate.
Digital Object Identifier 10.1016/j.csda.2010.08.005
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