Liliana Winkelmann, Rainer Winkelmann, Why are the unemployed so unhappy? Evidence from panel data, Economica, Vol. 65 (257), 1997. (Journal Article)
This paper tests for the importance of non-pecuniary costs of unemployment using a longitudinal data-set on life-satisfaction of working-age men in Germany. We show that unemployment has a large detrimental effect on satisfaction after individual specific fixed effects are controlled for. The non-pecuniary effect is much larger than the effect that stems from the associated loss of income. |
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Uschi Backes-Gellner, Achim Krings, Andrea Berkel, Theoretische Grundlagen der Personalökonomie, WISU-Studienblatt, Vol. 26 (4), 1997. (Journal Article)
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Uschi Backes-Gellner, Linus Geil, Managervergütung und Unternehmenserfolg - Stand der theoretischen und empirischen Forschung, Das Wirtschaftsstudium, Vol. 26 (5), 1997. (Journal Article)
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Uschi Backes-Gellner, Betriebliche Bildungsstrategien im europäischen Vergleich - Anlass zur Sorge für deutsche Unternehmen?, Personal Quarterly, Vol. 49 (12), 1997. (Journal Article)
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Dieter Sadowski, Uschi Backes-Gellner, Der Stand der betriebswirtschaftlichen Arbeitsrechtsanalyse, Zeitschrift für Betriebswirtschaft (4), 1997. (Journal Article)
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Uschi Backes-Gellner, Achim Krings, Zur relativen Vorteilhaftigkeit eines personalökonomischen Studienprogramms für die Arbeitsmarktchancen von Personalwirten, Sonderheft der Zeitschrift für Personalforschung „Personalwirtschaftliche Ausbildung an Universitäten“, 1997. (Journal Article)
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Uschi Backes-Gellner, Bernd Frick, Dieter Sadowski, Codetermination and personnel policies of German firms: the influence of works councils on turnover and further training, International Journal of Human Resource Management, Vol. 8 (3), 1997. (Journal Article)
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Carmen Tanner, Das Unsichtbare sichtbar machen, Ökologisches Wirtschaften, Vol. 12 (3-4), 1997. (Journal Article)
Präferenzen für Umweltgüter hängen immer vom Kontext ab, in dem der einzelne seine Entscheidung trifft. Da viele Umweltbelastungen nicht unmittelbar erfahrbar sind, müssen ökologische Handlungsalternativen in der konkreten Situation erst einmal "in den Sinn" kommen. Wahrnehmungshilfen wie Meßwerte, Okobilanzen oder Umweltlabels können dabei ökologische Präferenzen wachrufen. |
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Christian Haefke, Martin Natter, Tarun Soni, Heinrich Otruba, Adaptive methods in macroeconomic forecasting, International Journal of Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance, Vol. 6 (1), 1997. (Journal Article)
Adaptive methods are used to forecast three main Austrian economic indicators. We use a weighted recursive model as well as a neural network approach both with and without adaptive characteristics and compare our results to the forecasts of two Austrian research institutes. It appears that even models which use very limited information can outperform the two Institutes’ forcasts of the unemployment rate. For the case of most series adaptivity represents a possibility of improving the forecasts. |
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Marc Chesney, Hélyette German, Monique Jeanblanc-Picqué, M Yor, Some combinations of Asian, Parisian, and barrier options, In: Mathematics of Derivatives Securities, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, p. 61 - 87, 1997. (Book Chapter)
This article addresses some of the valuation problems, in the Black and Scholes setting of a geometric Brownian motion for the underlying asset dynamics, for options whose pay-off is related to the terminal price of the stock and an arithmetic average of fixing and/or involves stopping times related to excursions. In all cases, we are able to provide at least the Laplace transform in time of the option price under a form whose complexity varies with the number of exotic features. We emphasize that we do not give closed form formulas for the general case, but we aim to develop a methodology which may be used in many cases. |
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Marc Chesney, Monique Jeanblanc-Picqué, Marc Yor, Brownian excursions and Parisian barrier options, Advances in Applied Probability, Vol. 29 (1), 1997. (Journal Article)
In this paper we study a new kind of option, called hereinafter a Parisian barrier option. This option is the following variant of the so-called barrier option: a down-and-out barrier option becomes worthless as soon as a barrier is reached, whereas a down-and-out Parisian barrier option is lost by the owner if the underlying asset reaches a prespecified level and remains constantly below this level for a time interval longer than a fixed number, called the window. Properties of durations of Brownian excursions play an essential role. We also study another kind of option, called here a cumulative Parisian option, which becomes worthless if the total time spent below a certain level is too long. |
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Daniel Christoph Meier, Generalization and Constraints in Learning Machines, University of Zurich, Faculty of Economics, Business Administration and Information Technology, 1997. (Dissertation)
Computers work in a very precise, tireless, and fast manner. Nevertheless mechanisms by which computers could learn themselves and perform very simple everyday tasks arc virtually unknown. Such mechanisms that allow machines to learn from individual experiences and relate them adequately to other similar situations involve the key issue of how to generalize from past experiences to deal with future situations. Hence, the goal of this thesis is to investigate the laws governing reliability in learning.
This document describes a constructive approach to building learning machines for real-world applications, which try to solve many well-studied issues and problems originating from mathematics and real-world computing. The concept presented is that there arc learning machines, which have generally valid structural constraints incorporated in their architecture in order to achieve satisfactory performance for mastering challenging real-world tasks. Such structural constraints arc given and theoretically evaluated by the constructive and consistent generalization theory developed by Vapnik and Chervonenkis (Vapnik 1995b). Based on this theory, the factors governing generalization arc further utilized to classify and compare learning machines that exploit invariants. These include, among the various, discussed learning machines, learning from hints (Abu-Mostafa 1994), estimating the tangent of invariances by “Tangent Prop” (Simard and LeCun 1994), the group-invariance theorem (Minsky 1961), and the hyper-plane point invariance theorem (Nillson 1965). This comparison is conducted from the perspective of including generally valid geometric restrictions, i.c., geometrical structures learned by the learning machine arc adjusted such that they comply with the sensed data.
Then two now neural network paradigms Me described:
1. Structurally Constrained Resource-Allocating Neural Networks (SCRAN), and
2. Topological Growing Structures (TGS).
Both methods allocate incrementally new neurons and regulate their structure to comply with the sensed or measured data sets. Both rely on geometric constructs founded on sample vectors. The first kind of network belongs to the class of supervised architectures, whereas the second belongs to the class of unsupervised ones.
The first algorithm is based on the assumption of continuity and monotony. The assumption applies to samples of one category belonging to the same partition. For such a partition, the monotony continuity constraint is defined such that all points between the center of gravity of a partition and its samples belong to the same partition. This geometric construct is generally concave. It is the base construct of the learning algorithm, which is adjusted by an empirical risk minimization scheme. Furthermore, the complexity of this algorithm is studied by the above-mentioned generalization theory. This and other benchmarking problems corroborate the superior generalization power of SCRANs.
The second algorithm that implements learning by constraints is established by constructing a topological projection of the data onto its inherent minimized subspace by a self-organizing unsupervised learning scheme. The projection, motivated by Kohonen’s self-organizing feature maps, is constructed by adapting the number of neurons, their weights spawning up the subspace as well as their interconnection topology. Thus, the tessellation is constructed such that the neuronal weights arc only placed in parts of the state space that rue effectively visited by the problem studied. Another important property of the mapping is that it is distribution preserving.
These methods are applied to tasks such as credit worthiness analysis, differentiation between mines and rocks, empirical effective VC-dimension estimation, and phoneme analysis.
To conclude, our two network paradigms, namely SCRANs and TGSs, arc compared to the others mentioned above by applying the presented generalization scheme and the principle of topological learning by structural constraints. Then the various issues and problems arc reevaluated from the perspective of the learning machine, thereby adapting its structural constraints and architecture to the contemplated problem domain. This important principle is called Topological Induction, and it is the key principle for learning machines in the real world. |
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Bruno Staffelbach, Rezension des Buches Handbuch Rüstungsaltlasten, von D. Martinetz & G. Rippen, Allgemeine Schweizerische Militärzeitschrift, Vol. 163 (11), 1997. (Journal Article)
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Bruno Staffelbach, Rezension des Buches Basel und das Gempenplateau im Zweiten Weltkrieg, von H. Senn, Schweizer Soldat, Vol. 71 (2), 1997. (Journal Article)
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Bruno Staffelbach, Personalökonomik oder die Obsoleszenz der Konkurrenz zwischen Ökonomik und Psychologie in der Personalwirtschaft, Die Betriebswirtschaft, Vol. 57 (11), 1997. (Journal Article)
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Bruno Staffelbach, Leistungslöhne: Chancen und Risiken, Persorama, Vol. 21 (3), 1997. (Journal Article)
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Bruno Staffelbach, Die Qualifizierung von Führungskräften: Ein Überblick, Schweizer Arbeitgeber, Vol. 92 (4-5), 1997. (Journal Article)
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Bruno Staffelbach, Betriebliche Rüstungskonversion: Erwartungen und Realität, io New Management, Vol. 66 (9), 1997. (Journal Article)
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Bruno Staffelbach, Weh mir! Die Geister, die ich rief, In: Personaljahrbuch, Huber, Frauenfeld, p. 174 - 177, 1997. (Book Chapter)
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Alexander Wagner, Geldpolitik in der Europäischen Wirtschafts- und Währungsunion: Konzeption, Funktionsweise und die Rolle der Europäischen Zentralbank insbesondere im Hinblick auf die Preisstabilität des Euro, Universitätsverlag Trauner, Linz, 1997. (Book/Research Monograph)
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