Markus Leippold, Sentiment spin: Attacking financial sentiment with GPT-3, Finance Research Letters, Vol. 55 (B), 2023. (Journal Article)
In this study, we explore the susceptibility of financial sentiment analysis to adversarial attacks that manipulate financial texts. With the rise of AI readership in the financial sector, companies are adapting their language and disclosures to fit AI processing better, leading to concerns about the potential for manipulation. In the finance literature, keyword-based methods, such as dictionaries, are still widely used for financial sentiment analysis due to their perceived transparency. However, our research demonstrates the vulnerability of keyword-based approaches by successfully generating adversarial attacks using the sophisticated transformer model, GPT-3. With a success rate of nearly 99% for negative sentences in the Financial Phrase Bank, a widely used database for financial sentiment analysis, we highlight the importance of incorporating robust methods, such as context-aware approaches such as BERT, in financial sentiment analysis. |
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Andrew Jack, Zacharias Sautner, Business school sustainability research: What is read most?, In: Financial Times, 6 July 2023. (Media Coverage)
Research papers on ESG themes - positive and sceptical - dominate recent downloads from the Social Science Research Network website. |
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Francis Bignell, Thomas Puschmann, Green Fintech Network Propels Switzerland’s Standing as a Leader in Green Digital Finance, In: The Fintech Times, 5 July 2023. (Media Coverage)
Switzerland has become the latest country to put words into action working towards more sustainable finance. During the Point Zero Forum in Zurich, the three-day event connecting policy with technology, the new Swiss Green Fintech Network (GFN) was launched, aiming to boost the green digital finance ecosystem. |
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Leonardo Bursztyn, Aakaash Rao, Christopher Roth, David Yanagizawa-Drott, Opinions as facts, Review of Economic Studies, Vol. 90 (4), 2023. (Journal Article)
The rise of opinion programs has transformed television news. Because they present anchors’ subjective commentary and analysis, opinion programs often convey conflicting narratives about reality. We experimentally document that people across the ideological spectrum turn to opinion programs over “straight news”, even when provided large incentives to learn objective facts. We then examine the consequences of diverging narratives between opinion programs in a high-stakes setting: the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic in the US. We find stark differences in the adoption of preventative behaviours among viewers of the two most popular opinion programs, both on the same network, which adopted opposing narratives about the threat posed by the COVID-19 pandemic. We then show that areas with greater relative viewership of the program downplaying the threat experienced a greater number of COVID-19 cases and deaths. Our evidence suggests that opinion programs may distort important beliefs and behaviours. |
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Francesca Casalini, Liudmila Zavolokina, Do collaborative platforms create public value in public services? An explorative analysis of privately-owned public service platforms in Italy, In: 39th EGOS Colloquium, 39th EGOS Colloquium, 2023. (Conference or Workshop Paper published in Proceedings)
This paper explores the public value outcomes generated by collaborative platforms in public services through a comparative case study of 25 privately-owned digital platforms across various public service areas in Italy. The study confirms that collaborative digitally-enabled endeavors can have both positive and negative effects on public value, highlighting the challenges associated with multi-actor dynamics and the delicate balance between public interest and private gain in public services. The findings reveal implications related to user-centric platforms, including concerns about inclusivity, autonomy, decision-making abilities, and privacy infringement. Additionally, the study suggests that collaborative platforms alone do not enhance collaboration in public services unless accompanied by strong public governance that promotes interoperability through standardized frameworks, common templates, and data reuse. |
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Francesco Sovrano, Kevin Ashley, Alberto Bacchelli, Toward Eliminating Hallucinations: GPT-based Explanatory AI for Intelligent Textbooks and Documentation, In: Tokyo’23: Fifth Workshop on Intelligent Textbooks (iTextbooks) at the 24th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence in Education (AIED’2023),, CEUR-WS, 2023-07-03. (Conference or Workshop Paper published in Proceedings)
Traditional explanatory resources, such as user manuals and textbooks, often contain content that may not cater to the diverse backgrounds and information needs of users. Yet, developing intuitive, user-centered methods to effectively explain complex or large amounts of information is still an open research challenge. In this paper we present ExplanatoryGPT, an approach we devised and implemented to transform textual documents into interactive, intelligent resources, capable of offering dynamic, personalized explanations. Our approach uses state-of-the-art question-answering technology to generate on-demand, expandable explanations, with the aim of allowing readers to efficiently navigate and comprehend static materials. ExplanatoryGPT integrates ChatGPT, a state-of-the-art language model, with Achinstein’s philosophical theory of explanations. By combining question generation and answer retrieval algorithms with ChatGPT, our method generates interactive, user-centered explanations, while mitigating common issues associated with ChatGPT, such as hallucinations and memory shortcomings. To showcase the effectiveness of our Explanatory AI, we conducted tests using a variety of sources, including a legal textbook and documentation of some health and financial software. Specifically, we provide several examples that illustrate how ExplanatoryGPT excels over ChatGPT in generating more precise explanations, accomplished through thoughtful macro-planning of explanation content. Notably, our approach also avoids the need to provide the entire context of the explanation as a prompt to ChatGPT, a process that is often not feasible due to common memory constraints. |
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Guido Schätti, Christoph Basten, Alle Macht der Nationalbank?, In: NZZ am Sonntag, 2 July 2023. (Media Coverage)
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Wenqing Chang, End-to-End lmplementation of Pair-Wise Correlation Computation in a Streaming System, University of Zurich, Faculty of Business, Economics and Informatics, 2023. (Master's Thesis)
This thesis aims to address a key challenge in time-series data analysis - efficiently identifying correlations between various data streams. As the prominence of sensor networks rises, the analysis of time-series data has become increasingly crucial. The insights derived from these data streams hold significant intelligence, but extracting them efficiently remains a complex task.
This thesis brings into focus the dimensionality-reduction filter-and-refine techniques, designed to expedite the process of identifying correlations. Despite their utility, these techniques lack a comprehensive comparative analysis over streaming systems, and this thesis seeks to fill this gap.
The core objective is to implement these techniques within a streaming platform, enabling benchmarking under realistic conditions. The thesis is divided into several chapters that provide a comprehensive overview of the problem, delve into the dimensionality reduction algorithms, and discuss their implementation within a streaming system.
Particular emphasis is placed on the Filter-and-Refine Algorithm on the Kafka Streaming Platform. Two distinct design approaches, one based on Kafka Streams and another simpler Producer-Consumer design, are implemented, compared, and evaluated.
The thesis culminates with an exhaustive series of experiments assessing the performance of the implemented algorithms. The ultimate goal is to provide a framework that not only implements the techniques but also evaluates their performance, aiming to contribute to the field of time-series data analysis. |
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Adrian Zermin, Building a Data Analysis Platform for the EARDREAM Project, University of Zurich, Faculty of Business, Economics and Informatics, 2023. (Master's Thesis)
With an aging population across the world, dementia and neurological diseases, such as Alzheimer's disease (AD), are on the rise. The disproportionate rise in AD cases in developing countries gives rise to a low-cost, robust way to diagnose early-onset AD. The EARDREAM project takes up the fight against AD in these countries using low-density electroencephalography (EEG) device, with the goal of developing a digital biomarker of early-onset AD.
To make the collected health data accessible and enable large-scale analysis, there is a need for accessible, scaleable, secure solutions for EEG data analysis.
This thesis presents the design and implementation of the Wondernap platform, a novel, cloud-based system dedicated to enhancing the current process of interacting with the data generated using the EARDREAM EEG device.
The evolution of the platform through two iterative prototypes is described, highlighting the transition from an initial prototype to a scaleable, secure, cloud-based solution.
The initial prototype laid the groundwork for a scaleable, modular, and transferable architecture capable of accounting for the unique requirements of the EARDREAM project, employing state-of-the-art technologies for EEG data analysis architectures.
Deploying a Flask backend and Apache HBase for EEG data storage, with MongoDB for patient data, the first iteration validated its usability through a user evaluation, scoring 84/100 on the System Usability Scale.
Building upon user feedback and stakeholder input, the second prototype accentuated the applicability of cloud computing to the current architecture, demonstrating its scalability and portability. Using infrastructure-as-code and incorporating Apache Phoenix, this prototype showcased enhancements in fault tolerance, security, and performance.
In summary, the developed platform offers a fault-tolerant, scaleable, secure cloud architecture supporting a user-friendly frontend allowing its users to gain insights into the data generated using the EARDREAM portable EEG device.
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Linda Weber, Analysing the Effects of the Wash-in Phase and Initial Consultation on Patient Empowerment in the Treatment of Obesity, University of Zurich, Faculty of Business, Economics and Informatics, 2023. (Bachelor's Thesis)
The number of people suffering from chronic diseases worldwide is rapidly increasing, leading to rising costs and decreased quality of life. Lifestyle changes are an effective measure in the treatment of chronic diseases such as obesity. However, treatment adherence is consistently low. This thesis aims to analyse how the initial phases of the Digital Companion influence patient empowerment as well as self-perceived and actual adherence to the treatment plan. We analyse 18 patient interviews conducted during the field study of the Digital Companion. The results indicate that the structural empowerment provided by the Health Care Professional (HCP) together with the app have a positive effect on patients’ psychological empowerment. Patients report high levels of self-perceived empowerment and predicted adherence to the treatment plan which they planned with their HCP. The evaluation of patient-generated data recorded in the app shows a very high average actual adherence of 80%. |
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Adam Bauer, Supportive Assistant for Corporate Identity E-learning Platform, University of Zurich, Faculty of Business, Economics and Informatics, 2023. (Bachelor's Thesis)
Chatbots have experienced a significant surge in popularity in recent months, which can largely be attributed to the utilization of Large Language Models (LLMs). Among these platforms, ChatGPT has shown the fastest growth, amassing one million users within a only five days. This can be attributed to the inherent contextual understanding and impressive capabilities exhibited by LLMs, which continue to be explored.
Recognizing the potential of chatbots, particularly their adaptability to custom interfaces, our aim is to develop a tailored assistant to help adults in corporate identity E-learning. Our pedagogical conversational agent serves as a supportive guide throughout the learning process. Given the current boom in chatbot usage, coupled with the dearth of prior research on chatbots in the field of corporate identity and limited exploration in the realm of adult learning, our study seeks to address the following questions: How do users interact with the assistant and what types of messages are exchanged?
The findings of this thesis will shed light on the dynamics of user-agent interaction, the frequency of exchanged messages, and the intended functions of users. As our final product relies on an LLM, which serves as the backbone of the chatbot, we encountered various challenges, such as incorporating external functions and managing the LLM's knowledge limitations. To ensure optimal performance, this thesis includes a comprehensive prompt creation manual, which we utilized to refine our assistant and deliver the most effective learning experience for trainees. |
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Charlotte Eder, Design and Evaluation of Ultra-Wideband (UWB) Architectures with a Focus on Privacy-Preserving Characteristics, University of Zurich, Faculty of Business, Economics and Informatics, 2023. (Master's Thesis)
Ultra-Wideband (UWB) technology has gained significant popularity in indoor localization applications. These applications often generate vast amounts of personal information, increasing the need to ensure compliance with privacy-preserving principles to safeguard user data. In this thesis, the privacy-preserving characteristics of several UWB localization architectures were analyzed. Firstly, UWB localization architectures were examined based on their privacy-preserving characteristics. Subsequently, two versions of a time difference of arrival (tdoa) localization system were implemented, including privacy best practices provided by the IEEE 802.15.4 standard during the implementation process. Additionally, the privacy-preserving characteristics of the implemented UWB localization systems were evaluated with the help of a privacy criteria catalog based on COPri V.2 ontology.
This thesis found that the localization system employing a passively listening tag fulfills seven out of eight privacy criteria. In contrast, the system where the tag actively sends out UWB signals only fulfilled three out of eight criteria in its minimal version. However, the privacy-preserving characteristics of the active system could be greatly improved by using tools such as dynamic addressing, encrypting packages containing personal information, using a message integrity code (MIC), and using a scrambled time sequence (STS). Finally, the limitations of the current systems' implementations are addressed which provides directions for future research. |
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Michael Vuong, Design and Implementation of a Byzantine Robust Aggregation Mechanism for Decentralized Federated Learning, University of Zurich, Faculty of Business, Economics and Informatics, 2023. (Bachelor's Thesis)
Federated learning has become increasingly more popular due to limitations of the traditional machine learning methods regarding the data privacy. In addition due to technological evolution, the data volume in general has increased by a lot. Mobile devices are capable of storing more and more data.
While traditional machine learning methods struggle to deal with these concerns, federated learning emerged from these problems.
Two main approaches have been mainly used namely Centralized and Decentralized Federated Learning.
The former one has gotten much more attention in comparison with its counterpart and thus possesses many aggregation rules which are resistant to attacks.
The goal of this thesis is to propose a new aggregation rule which is resistant to attacks against the machine learning model for the decentralized setting to fill a gap where the research has no reached yet.
This is done by extending an existing framework fedstellar, for federated learning.
The case studies as part of the evaluation evaluate the algorithm on performance and resource consumption related metrics.
They indicate that the performance of the algorithm depends on the situation. They also show the limitation of the algorithm and possibilities of expanding the algorithm to other applications. |
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Johann Schwabe, CaVieR: CAscading VIEw tRees, University of Zurich, Faculty of Business, Economics and Informatics, 2023. (Master's Thesis)
Maintaining multiple complex queries on large, dynamic datasets in real time poses a major challenge. Thus, this thesis introduces CAscading VIEw tRees (CaVieR), an extension to Factorized Incremental View Maintenance (F-IVM) that addresses this challenge. CaVieR adds a method to F-IVM that joins the view trees of multiple conjunctive queries into a directed acyclic graph (DAG). This can efficiently handle updating and enumerating a set of Cascading Q-Hierarchical Queries. Reducing redundant query maintenance significantly reduces computational workload and can even reduce the theoretical asymptotic
complexity of maintaining Cascading Q-Hierarchical Queries.
The algorithm was tested against F-IVM on synthetic and real-world datasets with different sets of Cascading Q-Hierarchical Queries. In experiments, the two main performance indicators in IVM were measured: update time and enumeration delay. While in most scenarios, a significant improvement in both measurements was observed, it was found that F-IVM, when using batch
updates and ordered input relation streams, can outperform CaVieR.
To verify that this is the only scenario where individually maintaining the view trees is better than joining them, various parameters were tested, and their influence on update time and enumeration delay was recorded. While
parameters like the cardinality of the input relations and the number of free vari- ables significantly influenced the update time and enumeration delay, CaVieR outperformed F-IVM consistently.
Thus this thesis not only presents a new method of optimization to F-IVM that can decrease the asymptotic complexity of the problem, including theoret- ical proofs of correctness and completeness. It also includes an implementation and experiments to estimate its performance impact. |
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Yuwei Liu, Who wants to “Breeze”? A Cross-Cultural Pilot Study on Intentions to Use Different Versions of a Breathing Training Mobile Game in Germany and the USA, University of Zurich, Faculty of Business, Economics and Informatics, 2023. (Master's Thesis)
Background: Gamification and storytelling have been implemented in slow breathing training apps, a proven effective way to reduce stress and improve mental wellbeing, with the goal of keeping users interested and engaged. However, it is widely acknowledged that users’ cultural background and socioeconomic status (SES) affect their perceptions of apps and therefore intentions to use it on a regular basis.
Objective: Based on previous research on user engagement in digital health interventions, cross-cultural human-computer interaction (HCI) and technology acceptance theories, this thesis investigates the intention to use three distinct versions of a slow breathing training app (Stressless©: control group, Breeze©: with gamification, Tragic Kingdom©: with gamification and storytelling) between German and American users.
Methods: Adult US and German nationals were recruited from online crowdsourcing platform Prolific. They were randomly assigned to one of the three condition groups and watched a 1-minute introduction video about the corresponding breathing apps in their preferred language. Afterwards, they reported intention to use in a survey, alongside with other attributes related to technology acceptance that are not evaluated in this thesis. As the dependent variable, aggregated intention to use were summed up based on four survey questions. Independent variables were participants’ nationality and app versions coded as categorical variables.
Results: A total of 325 participants completed the study (153 German participants and 144 from US Americans). The results show that while national culture does not play a significant role in intention to use, the effect of app version is strong. Although not statistically significant, SES differences in intention to use is observed with no moderating effect of national culture.
Conclusion: Even though most hypothesis cannot be rejected; this thesis still provides meaningful guidelines for future studies on cross-cultural and other demographic comparisons on digital health gamification design. |
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Omar Abo Hamida, MigrantTech: Public Value von digitalen Plattformen zur Erfüllung der Bedürfnisse von Flüchtlingen verstehen, University of Zurich, Faculty of Business, Economics and Informatics, 2023. (Bachelor's Thesis)
Amid the emergence of numerous new digital platforms for refugees in Switzerland developed by NGOs and the public administration, the question of refugee needs is becoming increasingly important. This research paper analyzes the significance of digital platforms in supporting refugees in Switzerland. In doing so, it applies and extends the Public Value concept by Faulkner and Kaufmann. The study is based on 15 interviews with primarily Syrian refugees, which were evaluated using qualitative content analysis. The results offer insights from the refugees' perspective and identify critical aspects in dealing with digital platforms. Building on this, an expanded Public Value concept has been developed. This new concept includes the newly added dimensions of "Information Value", "Community Engagement", and "Role of the Platform". The extension of the model offers a new approach to evaluating and optimizing the use of digital platforms targeted at refugees. |
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Jonas Gebel, Downtime; Facilitating psychological detachment throughartefact-based reflection, University of Zurich, Faculty of Business, Economics and Informatics, 2023. (Bachelor's Thesis)
Knowledge workers profit immensely from modern technologies and use them for many aspects of their work. But these technologies also come with drawbacks, as people are now more than ever expected to be available at all times via their work devices. This can lead to blurring boundaries between ones work and private life, which in turn can have negative effects on the ability to psychologically detach from work and enjoy non-work time. In this study we introduce the concept of artefact-based reflection, a method through which knowledge workers can reflect on so called work-artefacts, like tabs, files or e-mails, that they worked with throughout their day and "clean up their workplace" at the end of their workday. Based on existing research and this new concept we developed Downtime, an application which aims at helping knowledge workers in facilitating psychological detachment through artefact-based reflection. We then conducted a user study over two weeks to evaluate the effects of our application. Our findings suggest that knowledge workers can increase their detachment from work and create mental boundaries between their work and non-work lives through reflecting upon the work-artefacts they used that day, especially when they were not actively seeking detachment from their work beforehand. Further research is necessary to evaluate the long-term effects of artefact-based reflection on a broader range of knowledge workers. |
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Jason Browne, Assessing the Positive and Negative Impacts of Privately-Owned Digital Platforms on Public Value in Switzerland, University of Zurich, Faculty of Business, Economics and Informatics, 2023. (Master's Thesis)
The growth of privately held digital platforms has had a significant impact on socioeconomic development and technical innovation. While most of these platforms are primarily focused on generating business value, there is a subset that operates as public service platforms, providing citizens with access to public services. However, it is essential to determine whether these privately held public service platforms contribute to or detract from public value. This research aims to address two primary research questions within the Swiss context. Firstly, it investigates how Swiss-based privately-owned digital platforms contribute to and destroy public value creation. Secondly, it explores citizens' expectations regarding public value creation through Swiss-based privately-owned digital platforms. A multiple case study approach was employed, analyzing three platforms: Coople, Homegate, and Ricardo. By employing the Public Value Scorecard framework, the analysis focused on assessing various dimensions of public value. The research involved conducting interviews and conducting a comprehensive analysis of grey literature, including Google Play reviews and newspaper articles sourced from the Swissdox database. The findings suggest that users highly value the efficiency aspect and the resulting transparency offered by these platforms. However, concerns arise regarding the quality of service, the level of personalization, as well as the platforms' responsibility and accountability. |
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Ben Domenic James Murphy, Machine Learning Approach to Polkadot’s Validator Selection Algorithm, University of Zurich, Faculty of Business, Economics and Informatics, 2023. (Master's Thesis)
Polkadot’s validator selection process employs an iterative algorithm, which is dependent on the size of the staking system. As Polkadot’s staking network is growing, I propose a machine learning alternative approach to the current implementation, that is more independent of scale. The algorithm, the sequential Phragmén, aims to reduce a graph of nominator-validator edges to a subset of validators, the active set, and distribute the stake backing them, as evenly as possible. The goal of this thesis is to produce superior results, consequently improving the overall security or to provide solutions of equal quality in faster time.
In order to achieve the goal, a pipeline is setup, that gathers data and transforms it such that it is suitable for machine learning models. Predictions are made, which are adjusted to fit the requirements set by Polkadot. The adjusted results are scored and ultimately compared to the solutions discovered by sequential Phragmén.
An analysis of the training data reveals, that the active set remains highly static, with only 10 validators on average changing from era to era. This lack of diversity raised concerns regarding potential attack vectors for adversaries. Furthermore, it was observed that many nominators are acting inefficiently. Many of them do not execute their right to nominate up to 16 validators, which would maximize their chance of having a validator included in the active set. Additionally, many of them include validators, which are not eligible targets. This occurs since nominators frequently ignore their duty to actively tend to their validator preferences. They set them once and do not update them.
Eligible validators become inactive (intentionally or unintentionally) and consequently remain as part of the nominators preferences.
The prediction task was split up into three models: The first model predicts the next active set, the second model predicts the sum of stake each validator receives and the third predicts the individual stake distribution. The results show, that the first two models are trained well and produce satisfactory results. However, the learning curves of the third model reveal a bias, which make the predictions suboptimal. The source of the bias is likely the substantial changes in target values introduced by a slight shift of active set.
We conclude that it is unlikely to outperform the sequential Phragmén using a supervised approach under the described conditions. Therefore, we recommend exploring an unsupervised approach for further research. Furthermore, we recommend the development of a tool for nominators, that could increase the convenience and the security of the overall staking system as a consequence. |
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Florian Rüegsegger, Inter-Chain Data Collection Pipeline For The Polkadot Ecosystem, University of Zurich, Faculty of Business, Economics and Informatics, 2023. (Master's Thesis)
This thesis aims to increase the capabilities of the Polkadot Data Preprocessing Pipeline of the Blockchain Observatory (BCO), a project of the Blockchain and Distributed Ledger Technologies Group (BDLT) at University of Zurich (UZH). This pipeline currently collects data of the Polkadot Relay chain. With the recent launch of Parachains, the Polkadot ecosystem expanded considerably.
The aim of this thesis is to expand the pipeline to two Parachains, namely Moonbeam, a Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) compatible Parachain, and Interlay, a bridge to Bitcoin (BTC). Furthermore, Cross-Consensus Message Transfer (XCM) between the chains should also be handled.
The new Pipelines consist of an archive node, a producer module and a preprocessing module per chain. The node provides raw data, the producer stores the raw data, while making sure the data is valid and checking and correcting the database integrity. The preprocessor finally preprocesses the raw data received, making use of the node for storage queries and web3 interactions in the case of Moonbeam. The data collected focuses on historical balance and transfer data, staking and reward data and data concerning the specific Parachains, such as ERC-20 Tokens on Moonbeam and vaults on Interlay.
A part of the thesis was dedicated to the optimization of the pipeline to increase the speed of data collection by restructuring the preprocessor to only use batched queries per block processed. The memory footprint was reduced by removing redundant data.
Finally, some queries and visualization are showcased to highlight interesting aspects of the data and to demonstrate the capabilities of the preprocessor, as well as providing examples. |
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