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Contribution Details

Type Conference Presentation
Scope Discipline-based scholarship
Title How to manage complex systems: new qualitative methods.
Organization Unit
Authors
  • Mathias Beck
Presentation Type paper
Item Subtype Original Work
Refereed No
Status Published in final form
Language
  • English
Event Title The Eighth International Conference on Complex Systems (ICCS 2011)
Event Type conference
Event Location Boston Marriott, Quincy, MA
Event Start Date June 26 - 2011
Event End Date July 1 - 2011
Abstract Text In our modern world we are facing an increasing complexity which creates higher risks as well as new interdependencies in the socioeconomic environment. Linear models tend to fail when dealing with complex real-world problems. System dynamics may deliver new tools to find sustainable solutions to these problems. However, these tools have some limitations. While the quantitative methods are sometimes too complex, the qualitative have limited capacities for detailed analysis. This is especially true with regard to the time dimension. Therefore, we developed a series of analytical tools including a Cross-Time Matrix to address this gap. Decision makers in business and politics can easily apply our tools. Based on the Cross-Time Matrix and combined with the Impact Matrix, one can determine whether a variable is suited for intervention or one can calculate how long it will take until an impulse from one variable in the system arrives at another. For our calculations we used an adapted version of the Floyd-Warshall algorithm.
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