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| Type | Scientific Publication In Electronic Form |
| Scope | Discipline-based scholarship |
| Title | The long-term effects of inflation on inflation expectations |
| Organization Unit | |
| Authors |
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| Refereed | Yes |
| Language |
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| Place of Publication | Vienna |
| Publisher | SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum |
| Series Name | SUERF Policy Brief |
| Volume | 686 |
| Date | 2023-09-01 |
| Abstract Text | The recent surge in inflation represents the first time many individuals experience inflation considerably above central banks’ targets. Despite limited inflation experience, inflation expectations of many households have been upward biased relative to ex-post realizations and target rates. This column proposes inflation shocks in the more distant past as an explanation for elevated inflation expectations. Consistent with this conjecture, German households living in areas with higher local inflation during the hyperinflation of the 1920s expect higher inflation today. Long-lasting effects of inflation shocks on attitudes toward inflation have important implications for monetary and fiscal policy as managing inflation expectations becomes more difficult. |
| Free access at | Official URL |
| Official URL | https://www.suerf.org/suerf-policy-brief/75253/the-long-term-effects-of-inflation-on-inflation-expectations |
| Related URLs | |
| Other Identification Number | merlin-id:24268 |
| PDF File |
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| Keywords | Inflation, inflation expectations, long-term persistence, German hyperinflation |