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Contribution Details

Type Bachelor's Thesis
Scope Discipline-based scholarship
Title Quantitative Analysis of Investment Strategies for the S&P 500 Based on Announced M&A Transactions
Organization Unit
Authors
  • Mike Stäuble
Supervisors
  • Benjamin Wilding
Language
  • English
Institution University of Zurich
Faculty Faculty of Business, Economics and Informatics
Number of Pages 72
Date 2023
Abstract Text This thesis uses the fundamental concept of merger arbitrage investing to derive rule-based investment strategies. The strategies are based on research findings regarding five deal-specific factors influencing deal success probabilities and aim to identify profitable merger arbitrage opportunities. A backtesting approach applied to a dataset of 160 M&A deals with targets that were, at the time of the transaction announcement, constituents of the S&P 500 index between 2010 and 2022 is used to test the proposed strategies. The results cannot confirm significant differences in returns between a long-only baseline strategy and the proposed strategies, disproving the effectiveness of the factors.
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