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Contribution Details

Type Working Paper
Scope Discipline-based scholarship
Title Heterogeneous Tail Generalized Common Factor Modeling
Organization Unit
Authors
  • Simon Hediger
  • Jeffrey Näf
  • Marc Paolella
  • Pawel Polak
Language
  • English
Institution University of Zurich
Series Name SSRN
Number 21-73
ISSN 1556-5068
Number of Pages 30
Date 2021
Abstract Text A multivariate normal mean-variance heterogeneous tails mixture distribution is proposed for the joint distribution of financial factors and asset returns (referred to as Factor-HGH). The proposed latent variable model incorporates a Cholesky decomposition of the dispersion matrix to ensure a rich dependency structure for capturing the stylized facts of the data. It generalizes several existing model structures, with or without financial factors. It is further applicable in large dimensions due to a fast ECME estimation algorithm of all the model parameters. The advantages of modelling financial factors and asset returns jointly under non-Gaussian errors are illustrated in an empirical comparison study between the proposed Factor-HGH model and classical financial factor models. While the results for the Fama-French 49 industry portfolios are in line with Gaussian-based models, in the case of highly tail heterogeneous cryptocurrencies, the portfolio based on the Factor HGH model doubles the average return while keeping the volatility, the maximum drawdown, the turnover, and the expected-shortfall at a low level.
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Digital Object Identifier 10.2139/ssrn.3951806
Other Identification Number merlin-id:21624
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