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Contribution Details

Type Master's Thesis
Scope Discipline-based scholarship
Title Timing the Market vs. Buy-and-Hold
Organization Unit
Authors
  • Thomas Dubach
Supervisors
  • Alexander Wagner
Language
  • English
Institution University of Zurich
Faculty Faculty of Business, Economics and Informatics
Number of Pages 67
Date 2021
Abstract Text A total of 20 different equity indices were analysed with a theoretical framework, in which investors periodically invest at the worst, respectively best trading days. Our results suggest that investors should choose to invest periodically, utilize a passive investment strategy, and prefer a long-term investment over a market timing approach. With a multivariate regression, factors were identified, and the effect of these factors on the difference between lucky and unlucky market timer was quantified. Increasing volatility, divi-dend yield, inflation rate, and uncertainty avoidance widens the difference while increasing GDP per capita and individualism narrow the difference.
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