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Contribution Details

Type Journal Article
Scope Discipline-based scholarship
Title Heterogeneous tail generalized COMFORT modeling via Cholesky decomposition
Organization Unit
Authors
  • Jeffrey Näf
  • Marc Paolella
  • Paweł Polak
Item Subtype Original Work
Refereed Yes
Status Published in final form
Language
  • English
Journal Title Journal of Multivariate Analysis
Publisher Elsevier
Geographical Reach international
ISSN 0047-259X
Volume 172
Page Range 84 - 106
Date 2019
Abstract Text A mean–variance heterogeneous tails mixture distribution is proposed for modeling financial asset returns. It captures, along with the obligatory leptokurtosis, different tail behavior among the assets. Its construction allows for joint maximum likelihood estimation of all model parameters via an expectation–maximization algorithm and thus is applicable in high dimensions. A useful and unique feature of the model is that the tail behavior of the individual assets is driven by asset-specific news effects. In the bivariate iid case, the model corresponds to the standard CAPM model, but enriched with a filter for capturing the news impact associated with both the market and asset excess returns. An empirical application using a portfolio of highly tail-heterogeneous cryptocurrencies and realistic transaction costs shows superior out-of-sample portfolio performance compared to numerous competing models. A model extension to capture asset-specific asymmetry is also discussed.
Free access at DOI
Official URL https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0047259X18301799
Digital Object Identifier 10.1016/j.jmva.2019.02.004
Other Identification Number merlin-id:18054
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