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Contribution Details

Type Journal Article
Scope Discipline-based scholarship
Title The causal effect of house prices on mortgage demand and mortgage supply: Evidence from Switzerland
Organization Unit
Authors
  • Christoph Basten
  • Cathérine Tahmee Koch
Item Subtype Original Work
Refereed Yes
Status Published in final form
Language
  • English
Journal Title Journal of housing economics
Publisher Elsevier
Geographical Reach international
ISSN 1051-1377
Volume 30
Page Range 1 - 22
Date 2015
Abstract Text We identify the causal effect of house prices on mortgage demand and supply in Switzerland by exploiting exogenous shocks to immigration and thereby to house prices. Detailed micro data on individual requests and offers allow to close down possible other channels. We find that 1% higher house prices imply 0.52% higher mortgage amounts. The full partial correlation of 0.78% suggests also positive feedback from mortgage volumes to house prices. While we find higher house prices to increase mortgage demand, banks respond if anything with fewer offers and higher rates, especially later in the boom and for highly leveraged households.
Digital Object Identifier 10.1016/j.jhe.2015.07.001
Other Identification Number merlin-id:16126
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