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Contribution Details

Type Master's Thesis
Scope Discipline-based scholarship
Title Machine Learning Based Views in a Generalized Black-Litterman Framework
Organization Unit
Authors
  • Manuel Kannenberg
Supervisors
  • Marc Paolella
Language
  • English
Institution University of Zurich
Faculty Faculty of Business, Economics and Informatics
Number of Pages 35
Date 2017
Abstract Text The proposed hybrid model supports non-Gaussianity of the returns in the reference model and incorporation of prior views from exogenous information which is quanti ed into a joint alpha signal using machine learning methods. The predictive power of the hybrid model is investi- gated using Quantopian backtest engine. The introduction of subjective views derived from alternative datasets combined with COMFORT as the reference model leads to a faster adapt- ing model, which has extraordinary and steady risk monitoring properties, captures trends and leads to a higher Sharpe ratio. Two of our best model and their combination deliver net portfolio returns which are systematically higher than the returns of the S&P 500 index.
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