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Contribution Details

Type Bachelor's Thesis
Scope Discipline-based scholarship
Title Macroeconomic Drivers of the Swiss Stock Market
Organization Unit
Authors
  • Felix Löhrhoff
Supervisors
  • Kjell G. Nyborg
Language
  • English
Institution University of Zurich
Faculty Faculty of Economics, Business Administration and Information Technology
Number of Pages 72
Date 2015
Abstract Text The aim of this thesis is to examine whether the information contained in macroeconomic variables can be used to predict stock market returns in Switzerland. On the one hand, the efficient market hypothesis states that currently available information should be fully reflected in current prices. Hence, no reliable forecasts should be possible. On the other hand, some studies have shown that certain macroeconomic variables are sufficiently persistent and correlated with stock market returns to make forecasts which are superior to random guesses.
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