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Contribution Details

Type Journal Article
Scope Discipline-based scholarship
Title Out-of-sample forecasting performance of single equation monetary exchange rate models in Norwegian currency markets
Organization Unit
Authors
  • Harald Reinton
  • Steven Ongena
Item Subtype Original Work
Refereed Yes
Status Published in final form
Language
  • English
Journal Title Applied Financial Economics
Publisher Taylor & Francis
Geographical Reach international
ISSN 0960-3107
Volume 9
Number 6
Page Range 545 - 550
Date 1999
Abstract Text This study compares the out-of-sample forecasting performance of single-equation monetary exchange rate models against the random walk. We look at spot exchange rates of Norwegian Krone vis-à-vis four major currencies from June 1986 until October 1996. We find that an error correction model outperforms the random walk in out-of-sample forecasting exercises at six and twelve month horizons.
Digital Object Identifier 10.1080/096031099332005
Other Identification Number merlin-id:11797
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