Not logged in.
Quick Search - Contribution
Contribution Details
| Type | Conference or Workshop Paper |
| Scope | Discipline-based scholarship |
| Published in Proceedings | Yes |
| Title | Adaptive home heating under weather and price uncertainty using GPs and MDPs |
| Organization Unit | |
| Authors |
|
| Presentation Type | paper |
| Item Subtype | Original Work |
| Refereed | Yes |
| Status | Published in final form |
| Language |
|
| ISBN | 978-1-4503-2738-1 |
| Event Title | International Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems (AAMAS) |
| Event Type | conference |
| Event Location | Paris, France |
| Event Start Date | May 5 - 2014 |
| Event End Date | May 9 - 2014 |
| Place of Publication | Richland, SC, USA |
| Publisher | ACM |
| Abstract Text | We consider the problem of adaptive home heating in the smart grid, assuming that real-time electricity prices are being exposed to end-users with the goal of realizing demand-side management. To lower the burden on the end-users, our goal is the design of a smart thermostat that automatically heats the home, optimally trading o the user’s comfort and cost. This is a challenging problem due to two sources of uncertainty: future weather conditions and future electricity prices. Our main technical contribution is a general technique that uses predictive distributions obtained from Gaussian Process (GP) regressions to compute the state transition probabilities of an MDP, such that the solution to the resulting MDP constitutes a sequentially optimal policy. We apply this general approach to the home-heating problem, where we use the predictive distributions of the GPs for the day-ahead external temperatures and electricity prices. The solution to the home-heating MDP constitutes an optimal heating policy that maximizes the user’s utility given the probability information gathered by the Gaussian process model. Via simulations we show that our MDP-based approach outperforms various benchmarks, especially for cost-sensitive users. |
| Related URLs | |
| Other Identification Number | merlin-id:10436 |
| PDF File |
Download from ZORA
|
| Export |
BibTeX
EP3 XML (ZORA)
|