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Contribution Details

Type Working Paper
Scope Discipline-based scholarship
Title Consumption growth, uncovered equity parity and the cross-section of returns on foreign currencies
Organization Unit
Authors
  • Thomas Nitschka
Language
  • English
Institution University of Zurich
Series Name Working paper series / Institute for Empirical Research in Economics
Number No. 340
ISSN 1424-0459
Date 2007
Abstract Text Lagged foreign stock returns in excess of the U.S. stock market return are informative aboutnquarterly exchange rate movements. A past high foreign stock return relative to the U.S. signals a foreign currency depreciation and hence low returns on the foreign currency.nConditional on stock return differentials, the consumption-based CAPM (CCAPM) explains the cross-sectional dispersion in U.S. dollar exchange rates. The CCAPM captures more than 40 percent of the variation in foreign currency returns scaled with the respective stock returnndifferential on a country-by-country basis.
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