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Contribution Details

Type Journal Article
Scope Discipline-based scholarship
Title Asset-level assessment of climate physical risk matters for adaptation finance
Organization Unit
Authors
  • Giacomo Bressan
  • Anja Đuranović
  • Irene Monasterolo
  • Stefano Battiston
Item Subtype Original Work
Refereed Yes
Status Published in final form
Language
  • English
Journal Title Nature Communications
Publisher Nature Publishing Group
Geographical Reach international
ISSN 2041-1723
Volume 15
Page Range 5371
Date 2024
Abstract Text Climate physical risk assessment is crucial to inform adaptation policies and finance. However, science-based and transparent solutions to assess climate physical risks are limited, compounding the adaptation gap. This is a main limitation to fill the adaptation gap. We provide a methodology that quantifies physical risks on geolocalized productive assets, considering their exposure to chronic and acute impacts (hurricanes) across the scenarios of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Then, we translate asset-level shocks into economic and financial losses. We apply the methodology to Mexico, a country highly exposed to physical risks, recipient of adaptation finance and foreign investments. We show that investor losses are underestimated up to 70% when neglecting asset-level information, and up to 82% when neglecting tail acute risks. Therefore, neglecting the asset-level and acute dimensions of physical risks leads to large errors in the identification of adaptation policy responses, investments and finance tools aimed to build resilience to climate change.
Free access at DOI
Digital Object Identifier 10.1038/s41467-024-48820-1
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Keywords Climate-change adaptation, Climate-change impacts, Economics