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Contribution Details

Type Master's Thesis
Scope Discipline-based scholarship
Title Venture Capital Valuation with Option Pricing Approach
Organization Unit
Authors
  • Bangxin Cheng
Supervisors
  • Kjell G. Nyborg
  • Lilia Mukhlynina
Language
  • English
Institution University of Zurich
Faculty Faculty of Business, Economics and Informatics
Number of Pages 44
Date 2022
Abstract Text This thesis develops a methodology for venture capital valuation based on two option pricing approaches: "options building blocks" and Monte Carlo simulation. To make this thesis more realistic, we have incorporated provisions related to IPOs, such as IPO return guarantees and vetoes over down-IPOs, using a logit regression model to estimate the likelihood of an IPO exit. According to the results of the model tests, provisions like IPO return guarantees, participation, and liquidation preference significantly increase the value of VC securities. Thus, assuming that all shares are equally valuable as the newly issued preferred shares is highly dangerous and will lead to massive overvaluation.
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