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Contribution Details

Type Journal Article
Scope Discipline-based scholarship
Title Are Deficits free?
Organization Unit
Authors
  • Johannes Brumm
  • Xiangyu Feng
  • Laurence Kotlikoff
  • Felix Kübler
Item Subtype Original Work
Refereed Yes
Status Published in final form
Language
  • English
Journal Title Journal of Public Economics
Publisher Elsevier
Geographical Reach international
ISSN 0047-2727
Volume 208
Page Range 104627
Date 2022
Abstract Text Deficit finance, aka pay-go policy, is free when growth rates routinely exceed safe government borrowing rates. Or so many say. This note presents four counterexamples based on four versions of a simple OLG economy. In each version the growth rate exceeds the safe rate for one of four reasons – uninsured idiosyncratic risk, uninsured aggregate risk, policy uncertainty, and imperfect financial intermediation. Deficit finance does not directly address any of these problems. What works, respectively speaking, is progressive taxation, bilateral intergenerational risk-sharing, early policy resolution, and improved intermediation. The four examples thus show that seemingly free deficits may be more costly than they appear. Indeed, inefficient pay-go policy can even lower the government’s borrowing rate, encouraging yet more deficit finance.
Digital Object Identifier 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2022.104627
Other Identification Number merlin-id:21768
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