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Contribution Details

Type Journal Article
Scope Discipline-based scholarship
Title Optimal estimation of a large-dimensional covariance matrix under Stein’s loss
Organization Unit
Authors
  • Olivier Ledoit
  • Michael Wolf
Item Subtype Original Work
Refereed Yes
Status Published in final form
Language
  • English
Journal Title Bernoulli
Publisher International Statistical Institute
Geographical Reach international
ISSN 1350-7265
Volume 24
Number 4B
Page Range 3791 - 3832
Date 2018
Abstract Text This paper introduces a new method for deriving covariance matrix estimators that are decision-theoretically optimal within a class of nonlinear shrinkage estimators. The key is to employ large-dimensional asymptotics: the matrix dimension and the sample size go to infinity together, with their ratio converging to a finite, nonzero limit. As the main focus, we apply this method to Stein’s loss. Compared to the estimator of Stein (Estimation of a covariance matrix (1975); J. Math. Sci. 34 (1986) 1373–1403), ours has five theoretical advantages: (1) it asymptotically minimizes the loss itself, instead of an estimator of the expected loss; (2) it does not necessitate post-processing via an ad hoc algorithm (called “isotonization”) to restore the positivity or the ordering of the covariance matrix eigenvalues; (3) it does not ignore any terms in the function to be minimized; (4) it does not require normality; and (5) it is not limited to applications where the sample size exceeds the dimension. In addition to these theoretical advantages, our estimator also improves upon Stein’s estimator in terms of finite-sample performance, as evidenced via extensive Monte Carlo simulations. To further demonstrate the effectiveness of our method, we show that some previously suggested estimators of the covariance matrix and its inverse are decision-theoretically optimal in the large-dimensional asymptotic limit with respect to the Frobenius loss function.
Free access at DOI
Official URL https://projecteuclid.org/download/pdfview_1/euclid.bj/1524038770
Digital Object Identifier 10.3150/17-bej979
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Keywords large-dimensional asymptotics, nonlinear shrinkage estimation, random matrix theory, rotation equivariance, Stein’s loss