Not logged in.

Contribution Details

Type Master's Thesis
Scope Discipline-based scholarship
Title Managing Portfolio Over the Business cycle
Organization Unit
Authors
  • Chengjie Zhou
Supervisors
  • Hanlin Yang
  • Markus Leippold
Language
  • English
Institution University of Zurich
Faculty Faculty of Business, Economics and Informatics
Date 2018
Abstract Text This paper analyses long-term portfolio management decisions in the presence of regime switches in asset returns with stochastic trading costs. The underlying assets are represented by a market portfolio and factor portfolios tracking size, value, pro tability, and investment e ects. First, consistent with the literature, this paper also nds strong evidence of time-variations in the joint distribution of returns with respect to the underlying factor portfolios. Two separate regimes, characterized mainly by volatility in asset returns, are required to capture the dynamics. Second, by adopting a dynamic optimal asset allocation strategy the hedging properties of factor portfolios are found to vary signi cantly across regimes. Nevertheless, out-of-sample forecasting experiments show the economic importance of market timing in asset allocation decisions.
Export BibTeX