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Contribution Details

Type Conference or Workshop Paper
Scope Discipline-based scholarship
Published in Proceedings Yes
Title Self-justified equilibria: Existence and computation
Organization Unit
Authors
  • Felix Kübler
  • Simon Scheidegger
Presentation Type paper
Item Subtype Original Work
Refereed Yes
Status Published in final form
Language
  • English
Page Range 1 - 22
Event Title Society for Economic Dynamics (SED)
Event Type conference
Event Location Mexico City
Event Start Date June 28 - 2018
Event End Date June 30 - 2018
Place of Publication Zürich
Publisher s.n.
Abstract Text In this paper we introduce "self-justified" equilibrium as a solution concept in stochastic general equilibrium models with a large number of heterogeneous agents. In each period agents trade in assets to maximize the sum of current utility and forecasted future utility. Current prices ensure that markets clear and agents forecast the probability distribution of future prices and consumption on the basis of current endogenous variables and the current exogenous shock. The forecasts are self-justfied in the sense that agents use forecasting functions that are optimal within a given class of functions and that can be viewed as optimally trading o˙ the accuracy of the forecast and its complexity. We show that self-justified equilibria always exist and we develop a computational method to approximate them numerically. By restricting the complexity of agents' forecasts we can solve models with a very large number of heterogeneous agents. Errors can be directly interpreted.
Official URL https://sed2018.itam.mx/program
Other Identification Number merlin-id:16466
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