Aleksander Berentsen, Cyril Monet, Monetary Policy in a Channel System, In: Working paper series / Institute for Empirical Research in Economics, No. No. 295, 2006. (Working Paper)
This paper studies the theoretical properties of a channel system of interestratencontrol in a dynamic general equilibrium model. Agents are subject to liquidity shocks which can be partially insured in a secured money market, ornat a standing facility operated by the central bank. We show that it is optimal to have a strictly positive interest rate corridor and that a shift of the corridor affects the money market rate one for one. Moreover, the central bank canntighten its policy without changing its policy rate by simply increasing the corridor symmetrically around the policy rate. |
|
Christine Benesch, Bruno Frey, Alois Stutzer, TV Channels, Self Control and Happiness, In: Working paper series / Institute for Empirical Research in Economics, No. No. 301, 2006. (Working Paper)
In many countries, TV viewers have access to more and more TVnchannels. We study whether people can cope with this and watch the amount of TVnthey find optimal for themselves or whether they are prone to over-consumption. Wenfind that heavy TV viewers do not benefit, but instead report lower life satisfactionnwhen exposed to more TV channels. This finding runs counter to the standardneconomic prediction that a larger choice set does not make people worse off. Itnsuggests that an identifiable group of persons experience a self-control problemnwhen it comes to TV viewing. |
|
Simon Luechinger, Myra Rosinger, Alois Stutzer, The Impact of Postal Voting on Participation, Evidence for Switzerland, In: Working paper series / Institute for Empirical Research in Economics, No. No. 297, 2006. (Working Paper)
Many countries are forging ahead with convenient balloting methods, in particular electronic and postal voting, in order to re-engage voters. In this paper, we test whether thencost reductions with postal voting increase turnout. The empirical analysis is based on annewly collected data set on the introduction of postal voting in Swiss cantons. We take advantage of the unique fact that voting by mail was introduced at different times across cantons. This allows identifying the impact of postal voting on turnout, independent of time,nissue and canton specific effects. The estimated average effect on turnout is roughly 4.1npercentage points for an average turnout of 43 percent between 1970 and 2005. |
|
Bruno Frey, Evaluitis - Eine Neue Krankheit, In: Working paper series / Institute for Empirical Research in Economics, No. No. 293, 2006. (Working Paper)
“Evaluitis” - i.e. ex post assessments of organizations and persons - has become a rapidly spreading disease. In addition to the well-known costs imposed on evaluees and evaluators, additional significant costs are commonly disregarded: incentives are distorted, ossification is induced and the decision approach is wrongly conceived. As a result, evaluations are used too often and too intensively. A viable and oftennsuperior alternative to evaluations is a careful selection of persons and afterwards leaving them to pursue their assigned tasks. |
|
Hans Gersbach, Armin Schmutzler, Foreign Direct Investment and R&D offshoring, In: Working paper series / Socioeconomic Institute, No. No. 606, 2006. (Working Paper)
We analyze a two-country model of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI). Two firms, each of which is originally situated in only one of the two countries, first decide whether to build a plant in the foreign country. Then, they decide whether to relocate R&D activities. Finally, they engage in product-market competition. Our main points are: first, FDI liberalization causes a relocation of R&D activities if intrafirm communication is sufficiently well developed, external spillovers are substantial, competition is not too strong and foreign markets are not too small. Second, such a relocation of R&D activities will usually nevertheless increase domestic welfare since it only occurs if intrafirm communication is well developed and therefore knowledge generated and obtained abroad flows back to the domestic country. Third, the potential of R&D offshoring makes FDI itself more likely. Fourth, when countries are asymmetric, the small-country firm is more likely to offshore its R&D activities into the large country than conversely. |
|
Raúl López-Pérez, Introducing Social Norms in Game Theory, In: Working paper series / Institute for Empirical Research in Economics, No. No. 292, 2006. (Working Paper)
This paper explicitly introduces norms in games, assuming that they shape (some) players’ utility and beliefs. People feel badly when they deviate from anbinding norm, and the less other players deviate, the more badly they feel.nFurther, people anger at transgressors and get pleasure from punishing them. Inthen study how social norms and emotions affect cooperation, coordination, and punishment in a variety of games. The model is consistent with abundantnexperimental evidence that alternative models of social preferences cannotnexplain. |
|
Pavlo R Blavatskyy, Ganna Pogrebna, Testing the Predictions of Decision Theories in a Natural Experiment When Half a Million Is at Stake, In: Working paper series / Institute for Empirical Research in Economics, No. No. 291, 2006. (Working Paper)
In the television show Affari Tuoi an individual faces a sequence of binary choicesnbetween a risky lottery with equiprobable prizes of up to half a million euros and anmonetary amount for certain. The decisions of 114 show participants are used to test the predictions of ten decision theories: risk neutrality, expected utility theory, fanning-out hypothesis (weighted utility theory, transitive skew-symmetric bilinear utility theory), (cumulative) prospect theory, regret theory, rank-dependent expected utility theory, Yaari’s dual model, prospective reference theory and disappointment aversion theory.nAssumptions of risk neutrality and loss aversion are clearly violated, respectively, byn55% and 46% of all contestants. There appears to be no evidence of nonlinear probabilitynweighting or disappointment aversion. Observed decisions are generally consistent withnthe assumption of regret aversion and there is strong evidence for the fanning-outnhypothesis. Nevertheless, we find no behavioral patterns that cannot be reconciled withinnthe expected utility framework (or prospective reference theory that gives identicalnpredictions). |
|
Ernst Fehr, Michael Naef, Klaus M Schmidt, The Role of Equality and Efficiency in Social Preferences, In: Working paper series / Institute for Empirical Research in Economics, No. No. 300, 2006. (Working Paper)
Engelmann and Strobel (AER 2004) question the relevance of inequity aversionnin simple dictator game experiments claiming that a combination of a preference fornefficiency and a Rawlsian motive for helping the least well-off is more important thanninequity aversion. We show that these results are partly based on a strong subject poolneffect. The participants of the E&S experiments were undergraduate students of economicsnand business administration who self-selected into their field of study (economics) andnlearned in the first semester that efficiency is desirable. We show that for non-economistsnthe preference for efficiency is much less pronounced. We also find a non-negligiblengender effect indicating that women are more egalitarian than men. However, perhapsnsurprisingly, the dominance of equality over efficiency is unrelated to political attitudes. |
|
Charles Efferson, Rafael Lalive, Peter J Richerson, Richard McElreath, Mark Lubell, Models and Anti-Models: The Structure of Payoff-Dependent Social Learning, In: Working paper series / Institute for Empirical Research in Economics, No. No. 290, 2006. (Working Paper)
We conducted an experiment to describe how social learners use information about the relation between payoffs and behavior. Players chose between twontechnologies repeatedly. Payoffs were random, but one technology was better because its expected payoff was higher. Players were divided into two groups:n1) individual learners who knew their realized payoffs after each choice andn2) social learners, who had no private feedback about their own payoffs, but in each period could choose to learn which behavior had produced the lowestnpayoff among the individual learners or which behavior had produced the highest payoff. When social learners chose to know the behavior producing the highest payoff, a model of imitating this successful behavior matches the data verynclosely. When social learners chose to know the behavior producing the lowest payoff, they tended to choose the opposite behavior in early periods, while increasingly choosing the same behavior in late periods. This kind of rapidntemporal heterogeneity in the use of social information has received little or no attention in the theoretical study of social learning. |
|
Stefan Boes, Rainer Winkelmann, The Effect of Income on Positive and Negative Subjective Well-Being, In: Working paper series / Socioeconomic Institute, No. No. 605, 2006. (Working Paper)
Increasing evidence from the empirical economic and psychological literature suggests that positive and negative well-being are more than opposite ends of the same phenomenon. Two separate measures of the dependent variable may be needed when analyzing the determinants of subjective well-being. We argue that this conclusion reflects in part the use of too restrictive econometric models. A flexible multiple-index ordered probit panel data model with varying thresholds can identify response asymmetries in single-item measures of subjective well-being. An application to data from the German Socio-Economic Panel for 1984-2004 shows that income has only a minor effect on positive subjective well-being but a large effect on negative well-being. |
|
Alois Stutzer, Lorenz Götte, Michael Zehnder, Active Decisions and Pro-social Behavior: A Field Experiment on Blood Donation, In: Working paper series / Institute for Empirical Research in Economics, No. No. 279, 2006. (Working Paper)
"In this paper, we propose a decision framework where people are individually asked to either actively consent or dissent to some pro-social behavior. We hypothesize that confronting individuals with the choice of engaging in a specific pro-social behavior contributes to the formation of issue-specific altruistic preferences while simultaneouslyninvolving a commitment. The hypothesis is tested in a large-scale field experiment on blood donation. We find that this ""active-decision"" intervention substantially increases the stated willingness to donate blood, as well as the actual donation behavior of people who have not fully formed preferences beforehand." |
|
Bruno Frey, Dominik Rohner, Blood and Ink! The Common-Interest-Game between Terrorists and the Media, In: Working paper series / Institute for Empirical Research in Economics, No. No. 285, 2006. (Working Paper)
It has often been pointed out in the literature that a symbiotic relationship exists between terrorist groups and the media. As yet, however, no formal model has been built based on this issue and only very little empirical research has been done in this field. The present contribution builds a simple game theoretic model, focussing on the social interactions between terrorists and the media. The model has features of a common-interest-game and results in multiple equilibria. After a discussion of the policy implications of the model, an empirical analysis is performed. Using newspaper coverage, terror incidents and terror fatalities data, it is shown that media attention and terrorism do mutually Granger cause each other, as predicted by the model. Moreover, it is explained why terror attacks tend to be “bloodier” in developing countries than in Europe and the United States. |
|
Patrick Eugster, Peter Zweifel, Correlated Risks: A Conflict of Interest Between Insurers and Consumers and Its Resolution, In: Working paper series / Socioeconomic Institute, No. No. 604, 2006. (Working Paper)
This contribution starts out by noting a conflict of interest between consumers and insurers. Consumers face positive correlation in their assets (health, wealth, wisdom, i.e. skills), causing them to demand a great deal of insurance coverage. Insurers on the other hand eschew positively correlated risks. It can be shown that insurance contributes to a reduction of their asset volatility only if unexpected deviations of payments from expected value correlate negatively across lines of insurance. Analyzing deviations from trend in aggregate insurance payments, one finds the following for the United States and Switzerland. Private U.S. but not Swiss insurance has a hedging effect for consumers, while both social insurance schemes expose consumers to excess asset volatility. In the insurance systems of both countries, the private component fails to offset deviations in the social component (and vice versa). As to the supply of insurance, cointegration analysis indicates the absence of common trends. Therefore, insurance companies could offer combined policies to the benefit of consumers, hedging their underwriting risks both domestically and internationally. |
|
Andreas Kuhn, Oliver Ruf, Einführung in die Statistiksoftware STATA, In: Working paper series / Institute for Empirical Research in Economics, No. No. 277, 2006. (Working Paper)
STATA ist eine umfangreiche Statistiksoftware, welche sich sowohl zur Verwaltung von umfangreichen Datenbeständen als auch zur statistischen Analyse eignet. Diese kurze Einführungngibt einen ¨Uberblick¨uber die allgemeine Syntax des Programmes sowie die wichtigsten Anweisungen zur Datenaufbereitung und –analyse. Diese Einführung dient der selbstädigen Einarbeitungnin das Programm. Anhand eines Beispieldatensatzes können die meisten der beschriebenennBefehle angewendet und nachvollzogen werden. |
|
Bruno Frey, Alois Stutzer, Environmental Morale and Motivation, In: Working paper series / Institute for Empirical Research in Economics, No. No. 288, 2006. (Working Paper)
This chapter discusses the role of environmental morale and environmental motivation in individual behavior from the point of view of economics and psychology. It deals with the fundamental public good problem, and presents empirical (laboratory and field) evidence on how the cooperation problem can be overcome. Four different theoretical approaches are distinguished according to how individuals’ underlying environmental motivation is modeled. Specifically, we look at the interaction between environmental policy and environmental morale through the lens of cognitive evaluation theory (also known as crowding theory). |
|
Martin Vlcek, Portfolio Choice with Loss Aversion, Asymmetric Risk-Taking Behavior and Segregation of Riskless Opportunities, In: Working paper series / Institute for Empirical Research in Economics, No. No. 281, 2006. (Working Paper)
In this paper we present a two period model, where the agent'snpreferences are described by prospect theory as proposed by Kahneman and Tversky. We solve for the agent's portfolio decision. Our findings are that the changes in portfolio weights depend crucially on the reference point and the ratio between the reference point and the current wealth, and thus only indirectly on the performance of the risky asset. Our model explains why investor keep on holding, or even buy, loosing investments. |
|
Benno Torgler, Sascha L Schmidt, Bruno Frey, Relative Income Position and Performance: An Empirical Panel Analysis, In: Working paper series / Institute for Empirical Research in Economics, No. No. 282, 2006. (Working Paper)
Many studies have established that people care a great deal about their relative economic position and not solely, as standard economic theory assumes, about their absolute economic position. However, behavioral evidence is rare. This paper provides an empirical analysis on how individuals’ relative income position affectsntheir performance. Using a unique data set for 1114 soccer players over a period ofneight seasons (2833 observations), our analysis suggests that the larger the income differences within a team, the worse the performance of the soccer players is. Thenmore the players are integrated in a particular social environment (their team), thenmore evident this negative effect is. |
|
Pavlo R Blavatskyy, Ganna Pogrebna, Risk Aversion When Gains Are Likely and Unlikely: Evidence from a Natural Experiment with Large Stakes, In: Working paper series / Institute for Empirical Research in Economics, No. No. 278, 2006. (Working Paper)
In the television show Affari Tuoi a contestant is endowed with a sealed box containing anmonetary prize between one cent and half a million euros. In the course of the show the contestant learns more information about the distribution of possible monetary prizes inside her box. Consider two groups of contestants, who learned that the chances of their boxes containing a large prize are 20% and 80% correspondingly. Contestants in both groups receive qualitatively similar price offers for selling the content of their boxes. Ifncontestants are less risk averse when facing unlikely gains, the price offer is likely to benmore frequently rejected in the first group than in the second group. However, the fraction of rejections is virtually identical across two groups. Thus, contestants appear tonhave identical risk attitudes over (large) gains of low and high probability. |
|
Margit Osterloh, Bruno Frey, Shareholders Should Welcome Knowledge Workers as Directors, In: Working paper series / Institute for Empirical Research in Economics, No. No. 283, 2006. (Working Paper)
"The most influential approach of corporate governance, the view of shareholders supremacyndoes not take into consideration that the key task of modern corporations is to generate andntransfer firm-specific knowledge. It proposes that, in order to overcome the widespreadncorporate scandals, the interests of top management and directors should be increasinglynaligned to shareholder interests by making the board more responsible to shareholders, andnmonitoring of top management by independent outside directors should be strengthened.nCorporate governance reform needs to go in another direction altogether. Firm-specificnknowledge investments are, like financial investments, not ex ante contractible, leavingninvestors open to exploitation by shareholders. Employees therefore refuse to make firmspecificninvestments. To gain a sustainable competitive advantage, there must be an incentivento undertake such firm-specific investments. Three proposals are advanced to deal with thisndilemma: (1) The board should rely more on insiders. (2) The insiders should be elected bynthose employees of the firm who are making firm-specific knowledge investments. (3) Thenboard should be chaired by a neutral person. These proposals have major advantages: theynprovide incentives for knowledge investors; they countervail the dominance of executives;nthey encourage intrinsic work motivation and loyalty to the firm by strengthening distributivenand procedural justice, and they ensure diversity on the board while lowering transactionncosts. These proposals for reforming the board may help to overcome the crisis corporatengovernance is in. At the same time, they provide a step in the direction of a more adequatentheory of the firm as a basis for corporate governance." |
|
Lars P Feld, Bruno Frey, Tax Compliance as the Result of a Psychological Tax Contract: The Role of Incentives and Responsive Regulation, In: Working paper series / Institute for Empirical Research in Economics, No. No. 287, 2006. (Working Paper)
In this paper, we develop the concept of a psychological tax contract that goes beyond thentraditional deterrence model and explains tax morale as a complicated interaction betweenntaxpayers and the government. Based on crowding theory, the impact of deterrence and rewardsnon tax morale is discussed. As a contractual relationship implies duties and rights for each contract partner, sticking to the fiscal exchange paradigm between citizens and the statenincreases tax compliance. Citizens are willing to honestly declare income even if they do not receive a full public good equivalent to their tax payments as long as the political process is perceived to be fair and legitimate. At the procedural level, a friendly treatment of taxpayers by the tax office in auditing processes increases tax compliance. |
|