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Contribution Details

Type Journal Article
Scope Discipline-based scholarship
Title When Managers Change Their Tone, Analysts and Investors Change Their Tune
Organization Unit
Authors
  • Marina Druz
  • Ivan Petzev
  • Alexander Wagner
  • Richard J Zeckhauser
Item Subtype Original Work
Refereed Yes
Status Published in final form
Language
  • English
Journal Title Financial Analysts Journal
Publisher Taylor & Francis
Geographical Reach international
ISSN 1938-3312
Volume 76
Number 2
Page Range 47 - 69
Date 2020
Abstract Text The negativity of managerial word choice (managerial tone) on conference calls is a telltale indicator of a company’s future. Specifically, increases in negativity, what we term bleak tone changes, strongly predict lower future earnings and greater uncertainty. However, decreases in negativity only weakly predict the opposite. To isolate the explanatory power of managerial tone, we control for negativity changes in the earnings press release and analysts' questions. Analysts and investors under-react when they extract value-relevant information from negativity changes. Consequently, a negativity-based trading strategy generates abnormal returns.
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Digital Object Identifier 10.1080/0015198X.2019.1707592
Other Identification Number merlin-id:9341
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