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Contribution Details

Type Working Paper
Scope Discipline-based scholarship
Title Estimated human capital externalities in an endogenous growth framework
Organization Unit
Authors
  • Jim Malley
  • Ulrich Woitek
Language
  • English
Institution CESifo
Series Name CESifo Working Papers
Number 7603
ISSN 2364‐1428
Number of Pages 43
Date 2019
Abstract Text To better understand the quantitative implications of human capital externalities at the aggregate level, we estimate a two-sector endogenous growth model with knowledge spill-overs. To achieve this, we account for trend growth in a model consistent fashion and employ a Markov-chain Monte-Carlo (MCMC) algorithm to estimate the model's posterior parameter distributions. Using U.S. quarterly data from 1964-2017, we find significant positive externalities to aggregate human capital. Our analysis further shows that eliminating this market failure leads to sizeable increases in education-time, endogenous growth and aggregate welfare.
Official URL https://www.cesifo.org/en/publikationen/2019/working-paper/estimated-human-capital-externalities-endogenous-growth-framework
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Keywords Human capital externalities, endogenous growth, Bayesian estimation