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Contribution Details

Type Master's Thesis
Scope Discipline-based scholarship
Title A Markovian Policy on Optimal Timing of Staged Technology Acquisitions
Organization Unit
Authors
  • Raphael Kunz
Supervisors
  • Alexander Wagner
  • Marco Ceccarelli
Language
  • English
Institution University of Zurich
Faculty Faculty of Business, Economics and Informatics
Number of Pages 66
Date 2019
Abstract Text This study explores the impact of exercise timing of buyout real options on the acquirer’s shareholder value when announcing to extend its commitment in a high-technology target. Buyout real options arise when purchasing a minority stake in a target and are exercised when extending the investment into a controlling interest. Markov decision processes applied to identify optimal exercise decisions indicate that when acquiring a public target, there is an economically and statistically significant positive association between optimal exercise timing and the cumulative abnormal announcement return to the acquiring firm. No such conclusion can be drawn for acquirers seeking to enter new high-technology industries.
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